It's been a down year for Boise State. They sit a 4-4 and they've struggled against tough competition all year. The lone expection being their win against BYU when they were ranked 10th in the country.
They get another shot against a ranked opponent tonight. This time against #23 Fresno State. A school that had an incredibly tough out of conference schedule, but has mostly dominated the Mountain West this year.
Oddsmakers don't like Boise State in this one. The Broncos are 4.5 point underdogs, and they're given +170 odds to win the game outright. That's an implied 37% chance to pull off the upset. Meanwhile, Fresno State is given -190 odds, or an implied 65.5% chance to win the game.
Boise State and Fresno State have played each other 22 times in their history. Boise State has won 15 of those games. So, they do dominate this rivalry.
The story has been a little different in recent years, with the two splitting the last 4 games they've played. That said, this has been all Boise State for a long time.
Since 2000, the Broncos have gone 15-4 against Fresno State. Of those four losses though, 3 were at Fresno State. So, Boise State has shown that they can be vulnerable on the road.
Boise State wants to maintain dominance over the Mountain West. It's their goal year in and year our. Well, they need a win in this game to prove that they're still the dominant force in the conference this year.
While the Broncos have had a down year by their standards, they still recruit better than any team in the confrence. That means they have the better talent on paper. If they show up to this game the same way they showed up against BYU, then there's no telling what could happen.