Congratulations, Bronco fans! We made it to the quarterfinals of the Mountain West tournament!
Boise State faces top seed San Diego State at 1:00 p.m. MT today. The broadcast will be aired on the Mtn. Sports Network. I'll be commenting on here as I watch for those who don't have the Mtn. Come join me. Your day job can wait.
Ok, so I think we know generally what Boise State is up against. The Broncos are on a 4 game losing streak and San Diego is on a 4 game winning streak. But, let's look at our real chances:
In our most recent meeting, Boise State shot just 40% from the field, connected on only 12.5% of 3's going 2-16 behind the arc and went a well below average 44% from the charity stripe (11-25.) Even with all of this we lost by ONLY 13. SDSU shot 78% from the free throw line going (18-23.) Our free throw shooting is not bad. Against New Mexico, in a very hostile environment nicknamed "The Pit" we shot 93% by going 15-16 from the line.
During the First meeting, Boise State shot an incredibly average 41% from the field and a horrendous 43% from the free throw line. If the New Mexico game is any indicator, we have fixed the free throw problem. The same game, SDSU went 25-29 from the free throw line. Clearly, free throws were the difference in a 2 point loss.
We don't need San Diego to have an off night. If Anthony Drmic can be a game changer like he was against Idaho, and if Derrick Marks is on like he has been, (but especially playing at the level he was against UNLV) Boise State will harass SDSU all night. Other players have stepped up. Tre Nichols, Thomas Bropleh, Jeff Elloriaga and Kenny Buckner have been sparks that BSU has needed. We went toe to toe with New Mexico in The Pit on senior night while UNM was pursuing a championship, and still almost came away with a win. Limiting runs will also be huge. We can't afford to turn the ball over and allow SDSU to get on runs. SDSU's Franklin is a candidate for player of the year, and Leon Rice cannot allow him to get hot. We are playing at a high level and I expect a tight game Thursday.
Once again, I'll be commenting on here as I watch for those who don't have the Mtn. See you guys at 1:00.