This week's Boise State bowl projection: Sugar Bowl

The BCS standings continue to favor teams that are not the Broncos, but no big deal. If Boise State keeps winning, the Broncos will be in a BCS bowl against a great school, ACC and Big East teams notwithstanding. And the BCS games aren't on FOX anymore. Win-win!

If the season ended today ...

National championship game

Lsulogosmall_medium Oklahomastatelogosmall_medium LSU vs. Oklahoma State

Sugar Bowl

Bsulogosmall_medium Alabamalogosmall_medium Boise State vs. Alabama

Now that the Game of the Century for People with Short Term Memories is over and done with, the Broncos have a better idea of which SEC power might fall to them in the Sugar Bowl. How does everyone feel about a date with Crimson Tide? Sufficiently terrified?

The Sugar Bowl scenario is far from a sure thing. Let's pretend like the season is over today. After BCS No. 1 and No. 2 get paired in the championship game, the Sugar Bowl would get first shot at replacing LSU with an at-large team. The Sugar would take Alabama. The Fiesta Bowl, having lost its Big 12 champion in Oklahoma State, would take Oklahoma to replace the Cowboys.

Then the picking / pecking order goes Fiesta, Sugar, and Orange, meaning the Orange Bowl is going to be a huge stinker. With the first choice, the Fiesta would probably take the Pac-12 runner-up as an at-large. The Sugar would then have its choice among Boise State, Virginia Tech, Houston, Michigan State, Wisconsin, and maybe a handful of other unappetizing teams (Michigan, harumph). There is only one right answer.

Here are how the other BCS bowls might shake out. Conference champions and, therefore, fixed picks are in bold (except the Big East champ, which has no guaranteed place to go).

  • Rose Bowl = Stanford vs. Penn State
  • Fiesta Bowl = Oklahoma vs. Oregon
  • Orange Bowl = Clemson vs. Cincinnati

Token Boise State - Oklahoma Fiesta Bowl mention

Fiesta Bowl

Oklahomalogosmall_medium   Bsulogosmall_medium  Oklahoma vs. Boise State

As mentioned in the above paragraphs, if everything holds true in the BCS standings, the Fiesta would have its choice between the Pac-12 runner-up and Boise State to pair with Oklahoma. The thought of this makes Bob Stoops gassy.

Ncf_a_stoops2_sq_300_medium

End of days scenario

Boise State enters a three-game stretch of non-cupcakes this week as TCU comes to Bronco Stadium, followed by a trip to San Diego State and a home date with Wyoming. What if, perish the thought, the Broncos lose once or twice or three times in their final four games? Perhaps if everyone on the team suffers knee injuries in practice and the only players left to play with are player doppelgangers like Rich Furrows, Lou Knight, and Moe Mouthrick?

Hey, it could happen.

Advocare Independence Bowl

Bsulogosmall_medium Miamilogosmall_medium Boise State vs. Miami

If Boise State loses, TCU would likely be the MWC champion and go to the Vegas Bowl. The No. 2 MWC seed goes to the Poinsettia to face the WAC champion, which would be a rematch for Boise State (versus Nevada ). So that leaves the Independence Bowl, sponsored by apathy, where the Broncos would face the ACC's No. 7 seed. No thanks.

Even more end of days scenarios

Last week I outlined a plan that would have a BCS bowl slapping us all in our figurative faces by matching up Houston and Boise State. Well, nothing much has changed since then. Houston is up to No. 11 in the standings, and the BCS's itchy trigger finger of disrespect is getting itchier.

Fiesta Bowl

Bsulogosmall_medium Houston-logo-small_medium Boise State vs. Houston

Do not want.

Do-not-want_medium

Let's have a playoff

College football is top-heavy with quality teams, and no more than two of them can play for a national championship. Wasn't Barack Obama supposed to be on this? What follows is an NCAA postseason according to my favorite playoff format (16 teams, 11 conference champions, five at-larges, seeds from the AP). Conference champs are in italics, even the WAC one.

  • No. 1 LSU vs. No. 16 Arkansas State
  • No. 2 Oklahoma State vs. No. 15 Nevada
  • No. 3 Stanford vs. No. 14 Northern Illinois
  • No. 4 Alabama vs. No. 13 Cincinnati
  • No. 5 Boise State vs. No. 12 Penn State
  • No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 11 Houston
  • No. 7 Oklahoma vs. No. 10 Virginia Tech
  • No. 8 Arkansas vs. No. 9 Clemson

Your turn

What do you think about a Boise State - Alabama Sugar Bowl? What other bowl possibility would you prefer? Would a Boise State - Houston bowl game make you hate college football forever? Share your thoughts in the comments.

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