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Everything you need to know for Boise State vs. Virginia Tech [Game Preview]

Want to know what will be most important for the Broncos when they face the Hokies on Monday night? Me, too.

After the jump, I take a stab at identifying some key areas, match-ups, and factors for both teams when they face off on Labor Day night, but chances are I didn't get to even half of them. Let me know what factors you'll be watching when these two teams take the field. Let's discuss.

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Vtlogosmall_medium  Bsulogosmall_medium

No. 10 Virginia Tech vs. No. 3 Boise State

  • When to watch: Monday, September 1, 6:00 MT kickoff
  • Where to watch: FedEx Field, Washington, D.C. (Capacity: 91,704)
  • How to watch: Live on ESPN with Brent Musburger, Kirk Herbstreit, and Heather Cox
  • What to wager: Boise State by 2.5 points, combined score over/under 50 points
  • What to wear: Forecast calls for clear skies, 74 degrees

Three matchups to watch

Tyrod Taylor vs. George Iloka

You know how Colin Kaepernick plays like garbage every year against Boise State? That's George Iloka's doing. Boise State likes using the sure-tackling safety to spy on mobile quarterbacks because Iloka is, well, a sure tackler. He may get the call to go at it again on Monday night, if the Broncos can spare him from helping in coverage downfield.

Virginia Tech's interior defensive line vs. Boise State's interior offensive line

Kellen Moore likes pressure in his face about as much as I like listening to Idaho Sports Talk. That is to say, not at all. If the combination of Will Lawrence, Thomas Byrd, and either Joe Kellogg or Nate Potter can keep VT's big uglies at bay, the Bronco passing offense will have time to click. Plus, as much as Boise State likes to get its play-making running backs on the edge, there will be at least three or four occasions where a tough two yards are needed to extend a drive. And those yards will be gained or lost up the middle. Preferably, gained.

Boise State punt block vs. Brian Saunders

Virginia Tech blocked three of its own punts during fall scrimmages, so I'd venture to guess that Boise State will be sending the house a time or two. Plus, Saunders will be making his first collegiate start at punter on Monday night. Oregon did the same thing last year, so the shank party could be back on. BYO7UP!

Injury report

For Boise State:

  • S Jeron Johnson questionable with undisclosed
  • DE Ryan Winterswyk questionable with undisclosed
  • LT Faraji Wright doubtful with something or other
  • OG Joe Kellogg questionable with who knows what

For Virginia Tech:

  • LB Barquell Rivers doubtful with quadriceps injury
  • LT Nic Becton probable with turf toe
  • LB Lorenzo Williams out for season with Lisfranc sprain
  • LB Alonzo Tweedy questionable with groin injury

What Virginia Tech can do to win

For starters, it would help to run the ball effectively. TCU didn't even bother trying this in the Fiesta Bowl, to their doom. I'd imagine that the Hokie gameplan will be a little wiser if for no other reason than all they have to do is photocopy every Hokie gameplan from the last decade and it will be ground-based. Laziness is their best strategy at this point. If the combination of Ryan Williams and Darren Evans get 40 carries and average four to five yards a pop, Virginia Tech will be in good shape. Like Sean Salisbury on Nutri-System.

Career-story5_1_medium

Skinnier and younger! (via www.weightloss-plan-review.com)

 

As strange as it sounds, Virginia Tech could give up over 400 yards of offense to Boise State and still win, so long as those yards all come between end zones and never in end zones. Holding the Broncos to field goals would keep the score close and put additional pressure on Kyle Brotzman, which is not what he needs. He needs a Pablo Picasso field with no left hashes.

What Virginia Tech can do to lose

Defending Boise State's offense is like cracking a safe. Defending Boise State's offense while breaking in seven new defensive starters is like cracking a safe if you are deaf and have no thumbs. It takes a lot of discipline, focus, preparation, and concentration - even more so when you're not at 100 percent. If the Hokie defense fails to deliver in the discipline department, the Broncos will exploit those areas until the cows come home. Which is about 11:30 p.m. ET because cows have work in the morning.

The Bronco defense showed last year that it will give you three or four opportunities per game to make a big play. It's up to you to make them count. Tyrod Taylor and his big play receivers know how to make good on big gainers, but rust, pressure, and the hot breath of Shea McClellin down your neck might make that tougher. Miss their big-play moments, and the Hokies might be kicking themselves on Tuesday.

What Boise State can do to win

The Broncos are brutally efficient on offense, especially when it comes to getting a fresh set of downs. Converting third down is a big reason why year-in and year-out Boise State has one of the nation's best offenses. They're always on the field. If the Broncos can keep drives alive, the Hokie defense will get worn out, BSU defense will get a breather, and the Broncos will get points - hopefully touchdowns - for their trouble.

Stopping the Virginia Tech run game would be nice, but I won't hold my breath. Instead, jumping out to a big lead might be Boise State's biggest defensive advantage because it would force the Hokies to take more risks, ditch the ground game, and play right into the hands of the Broncos' opportunistic defense. (I mean opportunistic in a good way; you make your own luck and Boise State's defensive players put themselves in positions to make some really great plays.)

What Boise State can do to lose

Losing the battle in either trench would be a big blow to Boise State's chances. I do not doubt that Boise State has talent up front, and I do not doubt that they can go toe-to-toe with the Hokies in physicality. This team is a long way removed from that Poinsettia Bowl mauling. I will say that I am curious to see how Boise State's new backup DTs do (Michael Atkinson and Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe) and how the defensive line depth as a whole holds up if Ryan Winterswyk can't go.

Rotating in and out on the offensive line probably won't happen, so it will be up to the Bronco starting five to dictate play up front. Most important will be the run game. Boise State has survived poor rushing performances before, but gaining less than 2 yards per pop will seriously hamper their odds of beating the Hokies. If the Bronco line doesn't open holes, things could get scary. Like Sean Salisbury on Nutri-System.

Career-story5_1_medium

Skinnier and Photoshopped! (via www.weightloss-plan-review.com)

 

Other factors

  • Injuries. Will Jeron Johnson play? Will Ryan Winterswyk? If I had the answers to these questions, I would feel so much better going into Monday's game. You are no help at all, Yahoo! Answers. Depth at defensive end is much better than depth at safety, so the Johnson injury has me far more worried. Kind of makes you wish that Idaho bars weren't full of people wanting to pick fights with Jason Robinson. He probably could have made a difference in this game.
  • QB pressure. Getting to the quarterback will be uber-important for each team. Sacks, in particular, will be huge. Firstly, sacks lead to tough down and distances and often kill drives. Secondly, sacks lead to turnovers, which according to analysts like me and Lou Holtz are pretty important. Third, sacks change momentum.
  • Limiting Tyrod Taylor. The Broncos will likely focus on stopping the ground game, which will leave VT's hopes in the hands and on the feet of Taylor. In my Gobbler Country interview, I predicted that 150 yards or less for Taylor would spell doom for the Hokies. I think I would even bump that up to 200. I'm feeling generous.
  • Field goals. I have no idea if Kyle Brotzman can make them.
  • Kwiatkowski's first game as coordinator. Coach K will do just fine with gameplanning. He was side-by-side with Justin Wilcox during that process last season. What I'm interested to see is how he handles the in-game adjustments, which is the coordinating part that I feel separates the good from the great.

Your turn

What factors do you think will be most important for the game? What must Boise State do to win? What must Virginia Tech do to win? Share your hopes and fears in the comments.

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Good stuff!

Swyk and Jeron have to be playing. I think there would be more news about this and you already know my thoughts about this…

I too am interested to see how Kwiatkowski does in his first game against VT (and can we just call him coach K from now on?). How aggressive will he be? Why kind of formations is he going to throw at Tyrod Taylor? And have they practiced enough tackling (did you see the USC – Hawaii game?)?

I can’t wait for this game! Only 2 more days…

by Drofdarb23 on Sep 4, 2010 12:13 AM PDT reply actions  

Blocked Punts..

regarding the reported blocked punts at VT practices – Do you chalk that up as the punter’s fault leading you to believe Boise State might be able to get one? Or is VT’s punt block team that good and we should be worried about getting a punt blocked?

by Drofdarb23 on Sep 4, 2010 12:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

i'd tend towards the latter

Tech’s stats are declining as people are more aware of their techniques and prepare for them, but Beamer puts the best athletes out there and coaches this unit personally. In addition, this year we have several tall AND fast athletes that are getting their quickly with great reach.

by hoqiez on Sep 4, 2010 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think it’s a little of both. No doubt VT’s punt block is good, but there’s a lot of punt block responsibility on the punter, too. Tough to tell without seeing each of the blocks in person.

"Please put your fat finger down!" - Lars

by Kevan Lee on Sep 4, 2010 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Swyk and Jeron - agreed

If it was something serious, we’d have more details and Coach Pete saying they’re definitely out. It must not be serious, which means they’re gonna be playing.

by hummerofdoom on Sep 4, 2010 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow

so, I am a little scared about the Wilcox defection.

I am more scared that Winterswyk and/or Johnson can’t play. That would be bad. Very bad.

Otherwise, I think we can limit VT’s RBs, and force Taylor to beat us, which I think we can handle. That said, I think this is a game where bad penalties or turnovers could really turn the game and make us lose. So … I’m just thinking happy thoughts instead of worrying.
  
On the Amtrack tomorrow into DC for the game. Can’t wait! BSU football!

by killtacular on Sep 4, 2010 2:03 AM PDT reply actions  

Probably shouldn't take your eyes off David Wilson

From the Roanoke paper this morning: “name another human being who can chase down a rabbit and catch it with his bare hands. Talk about something right out of Ripley’s Believe It or Not! Museum. Wilson pulled off the stunt last summer on the Tech Drillfield. … Wilson’s incredible athleticism — he ran a 4.29 40 in offseason testing and can slam dunk a football over the goal post backward from a dead stop …”
  This is VT’s third-string running back. Was going to redshirt this year, but not now.

by Hokie Dad on Sep 4, 2010 6:39 AM PDT reply actions  

Kwiakowski= The biggest question.

 This is the area for me w/ the Pepto factor. Not having JJ, or RW ain’t helpin my gut eitherr. I am putting my hope in the Harsin/Moore combination to out score VT if it gets crazy.

"Boise State football is now a Fargo winter. You know what's coming, and that information does you no good whatsoever". Matt James / The Fresno Bee

by blue4areason on Sep 4, 2010 7:13 AM PDT reply actions  

Jeremy Loane

Is he red shirting? If JJ is out I would feel ok with him replacing him. Has good instincts and a great nose for the ball. RW is someone we HAVE to have. He and Shea Mac will be key to slowing down or getting preasure on Tyrod.

I get nervous before every game but I might get an ulser before Monday. I might need a barf bucket and 1000 gallons of Maylox by the time Monday rolls around.

"I think I know what you guys are trying to say.....We need to build a space helicopter." Nathan Explosion

by forseyfan36 on Sep 4, 2010 7:50 AM PDT reply actions  

Ioane... with an "i"

and right now, no, he’s not reshirting. That could change, depending on the depth and health of our safeties, but I think he’s 3rd-string right now.

Thank you, Nick Adenhart. You will always be remembered. #34

by howiestheman on Sep 4, 2010 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

VTech . . .

1. Notoriously poorly prepared for first games. Boise State is always prepared for every game.

2. VTech replaced too many guys, BSU has experience and cohesion.

I see Boise winning, regardless of how much talent VTech supposedly has unless one thing occurs: the VTech offense starts the season in mid season form (doubtful, doubtful but could happen) and gets entirely off on you guys. If they explode you could lose, otherwise I see a sloppy first game slugfest on the meaty lines with Boise winning comfortably. The point above about big plays is spot on and Boise always wins that battle. The Eastern establishment is seething hatred right now for Boise, that usually translates into Boise motivation and while the analysis above was quite good (as always) the intangibles Boise brings with a chip on its shoulder cannot be underestimated.

by Aardvark on Sep 4, 2010 8:56 AM PDT reply actions  

I think it will come down to...

Who can win on special teams. Both schools are notorious for their special teams play. Whoever wins that battle wins the game.
GO BRONCOS!

by daddy18 on Sep 4, 2010 9:15 AM PDT reply actions  

3rd down conversions

“The Broncos are brutally efficient on offense, especially when it comes to getting a fresh set of downs. Converting third down is a big reason why year-in and year-out Boise State has one of the nation’s best offenses. "

Boise State was 73rd last year in 3rd down conversions…not sure I agree with this point. In fact VT was actually 32nd:
http://www.cfbstats.com/2009/leader/national/team/offense/split01/category25/sort01.html

Overall good article though, I wasn’t even aware I was on OBNUG while I was reading it- nice job on being objective.

by hoqiez on Sep 4, 2010 9:52 AM PDT reply actions  

I meant more that they are a very dangerous, effective offense when they are converting third downs, but I can see how it might have come out wrong. Good digging on the stats.

"Please put your fat finger down!" - Lars

by Kevan Lee on Sep 4, 2010 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Very true.

Boise had a lot of unconverted 3rd downs, but plenty of those came from the Mikey Coughlin 3rd-4th quarter series against weakling WAC teams.

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Sep 5, 2010 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

Don't forget the Bronco Frenzy Period

Most of the time, we have a 4-8 minute period where we score 3 or more times. If we can do this on Monday, we have a shot.

Bronco O can be very explosive and we need that to happen. We need to make the Hokies doubt they can keep up, but try anyways.

We need to have a big push with our D line and live in their backfield all day. We will need 3 turnovers to win.

BSU don't need smoke and mirrors to get the job done, they got orange pants.

by Belexes on Sep 4, 2010 10:44 AM PDT reply actions  

"Frenzy Period"

I like that. Never heard that one before.

"Please put your fat finger down!" - Lars

by Kevan Lee on Sep 4, 2010 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Best Frenzy Period - Dismantling of Fresno State in 2008

Four minutes into the second half: 13-10 BSU. Six minutes later, 41-10.

Probably too much to expect anything close to that against Va Tech.

We want to build a university our football team can be proud of. -- Dr. George Lynn Cross

by marktgarten on Sep 4, 2010 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

A commentator

for ESPNU during the BSU-UI game last year said it best. He said BSU was like a basketball team at this so-called “frenzy period” they get on quick scoring runs that shock the opponents and if they can get a 14-3, or 10-0 run and grab momentum, I will be gas free.

"You don't play against opponents. You play against the game..." - Bobby Knight

by bsu415 on Sep 4, 2010 8:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

i'm just nervous about jeron and winterswyk.

/sigh.

Go, Orange! Go Big Blue!
Follow me for BSU football game chants @BSUChants.

by Grindhouse on Sep 4, 2010 3:47 PM PDT reply actions  

Is it just me?

Or are the rest of you thrilled about the commentators (and Heather Cox:) for the game? I’m pretty sure Herbie has become a Bronco fan in the last few years… I CAN’T HANDLE THE WAITING!!!

by Fan of the Blue on Sep 5, 2010 12:11 AM PDT reply actions  

Oww, oww, oww...

I think I just got 3 ulcers from reading this article and the comments. It’s here. It’s really finally here. I think I’m going to go nuts just thinking about this game every minute from now until tomorrow night. It doesn’t help that I’m watching retrarded interviews and laughing from KTVB extras on their website, either.

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Sep 5, 2010 9:21 AM PDT reply actions  

Pulling for you boys tonight.

Go get show them you deserve a chance at the BCS title!

by BJohnston on Sep 6, 2010 9:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Formation shifts

I would love to see Boise start using formation shifts on defense as much as they do on offense. If they continuously appear to threaten with a blitz on every play, it would make it very difficult for the offensive line to know what to expect.

Another idea- When an opponent puts a man in motion, (pre-snap) have our defender follow as expected (to hint man coverage when actually using zone) but then have him blitz.

by mikebsu on Sep 6, 2010 11:06 AM PDT reply actions  

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