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Get your hopes up with the 2010 Oregon State Beavers [Team Preview]

Virginia Tech gets all the attention on Boise State's schedule, but the Oregon State game could be just as challenging for the Broncos. After the jump, find out what the Beavers have been up to this offseason and how they might fare in the Pac-10 this fall, and weigh in with your thoughts in the comments.

In a nutshell: Oregon State is stacked everywhere except the place it matters most: quarterback. If Mike Riley can find a way to minimize a new QB's impact, the Beavers could find themselves in the Rose Bow and electric RB Jacquizz Rodgers could be on the Heisman short list.

Star-divide

To get you ready for the season, OBNUG is previewing each team on Boise State's schedule, even the WAC ones. Today: Oregon State.

I know what you did last season

Oregon State was thisclose to a Rose Bowl appearance. Instead, they ended up with the opposite of a Rose Bowl appearance - a 24-point loss to BYU in the Las Vegas Bowl. After dropping games to Cincinnati and Arizona early in the year, the Beavers went on a four-game run through the Pac-10 that ended with a four-point loss to Oregon in the Civil War. At that point, who really cares about a Las Vegas Bowl? I mean, besides Max Hall.

Context for 2010

Last year's record: 8-5

Returning starters: 15 total, 8 offense, 7 defense

Strength of schedule: No.6

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You know what scares me about the Oregon State Beavers? Mike Riley. Or rather the emanating magnificence of Mike Riley. I get the feeling that you could give Riley a sack of gerbils, and he would find a way to get them to a Pac-10 bowl game. At the very least, he would beat Washington State.

Riley is the reason why OSU is consistently one of the Pac-10's best programs. While he always seems to lack just that extra little something to get to the very top of the conference, his teams always find a way to exceed expectations. Will this year's team be any different? Actually maybe, but only because there may be no room to exceed expectations this season. This time, Oregon State is good enough to be a preseason Pac-10 favorite.

And for good reason. They have the Pac-10's best running back, its best defensive player, and its best coach. Plus, Oregon is in shambles, and USC has way too much Lane Kiffin.

Oregon State is poised to make a big splash in 2010. The only thing standing in their way is a complete lack of QB experience. Quick, get Mike Riley a gerbil!

If Oregon State was a summer movie

Iron Man 2. Yay, Robert Downey Jr. is back (Mike Riley is a demigod)! Boo, John Favreau talks more (Ryan Katz is allowed to audible)!

Iron_man_2_teaser_poster2_medium

 

The five most important questions facing the Oregon State Beavers

No. 1: Who is going to play quarterback? Please tell me it's not that Lyle Moevao guy. I swear he's at least 30.

Moevao is gone, a victim of the NCAA's pesky rule that you can't play until you are eligible for social security. Last year's starter, Sean Canfield, is out, too. For awhile that left Ryan Katz and Peter Lalich to duke it out for the starting role, but Lalich went and got himself booted off the team. Katz by default wouldn't be the end of the world for the Beavers, especially since the bulk of his duties will be handing off to Jacquizz Rodgers and throwing short safe routes to James Rodgers. Katz did throw 27 passes last year, and I heard that at least a quarter of them were good. If he is the starter in 2010, he will have a lot of pressure to perform, but at least he'll have the skill players around to make life a little easier.

No. 2: What if I enjoy the Oregon State - Boise State game so much that I want to do it again?

Well, you might be in luck. The Broncos could be headed to the Rose Bowl if they get bumped form the NC game, and hey, so could the Beavers if they wind up as Pac-10 champs (someone correct me if I have my BCS bowl rules wrong). How likely is Oregon State to win the Pac-10? A lot more likely than you might think.

First, as mentioned above, Oregon and USC are kind of in a bad place. Second, the Beavers get five conference home games in the round-robin Pac-10. And third, both Oregon and USC have to come to Corvallis to play.

No. 3: Is Jacquizz Rodgers the best running back in the country? I mean, besides Doug Harper.

Funny you should mention that. He is certainly one of the best among a group that just so happens to include another one or two backs that the Broncos will face this season, like VaTech's Ryan Williams. Guys like reigning Heisman winner Mark Ingram and Pitt's Dion Lewis would probably win a poll for country's best, but Rodgers is definitely no slouch. He is 5 feet, 7 inches of elusiveness and power. For comparison, Chris Ault is 5 feet, 7 inches of analness and Napoleon complex.

No. 4: What is the least believable Oregon State player story of the offseason?

My personal favorite is DL Brennan Olander and friends' stolen golf cart joy ride that nearly cost Olander his spot on the team. Not to be outdone, Lalich got booted for a boat DUI.

It wasn't all embarrasing leisure activities for the Beavers this offseason, though. Two players left the team to either be with family or join the military. I guess military service and familial love cancel out drunken bad decisions.

No. 5: Does Oregon State have a weakness? Besides golf course equipment?

The linebacker corps grew awfully thin this offseason with the departure of David Pa'aluhi and an injury to Keith Pankey. Story is that Pankey's ruptured Achilles will be healed in time for the season, but don't hold your breath, Keith Pankey fans. A couple of sophomores are likely to replace Pa'aluhi, and a third sophomore is ready and waiting if Pankey isn't ready to go. Yikes, sophomores.

What other people think of the Beavers

  • Phil Steele - NR
  • Sporting News - No. 15
  • Athlon - NR
  • Lindy's - NR
  • SI.com - No. 17

Best player

Oregon_state_v_oregon_pxthacfwmghl_medium


DT Stephen Paea

OSU's best player is actually RB Jacquizz Rodgers, but you already knew that. Hopefully you knew about Paea, too, because he is really good. Like Billy Winn good.

He is the best defensive player in the Pac-10 and will be a surefire first round pick come April. He absorbs blockers and controls the line of scrimmage with no sweat. He will be a handful for the Broncos' interior line and everyone else's interior line for that matter.

Mark your motivational calendars

  • September 4 - TCU (at Dallas)
  • September 18 - vs. Louisville
  • September 25 - @ Boise State
  • October 2 - vs. Arizona State

The Beavers play the sixth toughest schedule in all of college football thanks to roadies at two of the non-BCS's best teams.

Way too early score prediction

Boise State 28, Oregon State 24

I do not like thinking about this game because I get scared too easily. Just keep reminding me about Korey Hall interceptions if you see me pacing nervously on the streets of downtown Boise.

Will Oregon State help Boise State's strength of schedule?

Absolutely. The Beavers should be one of the Pac-10's best teams, so you can expect a similar bump like the one the Broncos got from beating Oregon last season. In fact, the similarities are striking: early season game at Bronco Stadium, a Pac-10 consensus Top Three team. Just keep the postgame punching to a minimum. I don't think that helped last year.

OBNUG vs. a one-year-old child

To see just how fruitless predicting actual records are at this stage of the game, I enlisted a one-year-old child to challenge me in a win-loss prediction contest. She picked pieces of paper at random. I assumed the guise of research.

  • My prediction: 10-2
  • A one-year-old's prediction: 9-3

The one-year-old is obviously a USC fan.

Best case scenario

Ryan Katz or whoever manages not to screw everything up, Oregon State sails through the Pac-10 schedule, secures a Rose Bowl berth.

Worst case scenario

Ryan Katz screws everything up, the Beavers lose way more Pac-10 games than they should, a bowl game almost doesn't happen for them.

Your turn

What do you make of the 2010 Oregon State Beavers? Will they be more of a threat than Virginia Tech? Do you see them winning the Pac-10? Share your thoughts in the comments.

Comment 23 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Prediction:

5 TDs, 242 yards for Doug Martin.

by D_Summit on Jul 9, 2010 2:13 PM PDT reply actions  

And then they run an ESPN special

about his obsession with snakes!?

Black Mamba move over, Doug Martin is in town!!

Shake It Kid

by BleedBlue75 on Jul 9, 2010 5:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

My prediction:

OSU fans will be/are a lot more classy than dux fans. Oh, the score thingy…um Broncos 31 Angry Beavers 14. I like M. Riley, seems like a very good coach/person. All hail the gerbil master ! (Except against our Broncos).

"Boise State football is now a Fargo winter. You know what's coming, and that information does you no good whatsoever". Matt James / The Fresno Bee

by blue4areason on Jul 9, 2010 2:28 PM PDT reply actions  

So we got 144 posts w/ the W. Cowboys article (so far).

Something tells me there will be less irritated OSU fans, than Cowboy fans. How could we fix that….hmmm.

"Boise State football is now a Fargo winter. You know what's coming, and that information does you no good whatsoever". Matt James / The Fresno Bee

by blue4areason on Jul 9, 2010 2:38 PM PDT reply actions  

osu way more classy then ducks

loved your comment on ault,that is so true.hope we blow up the wolfpack. osu has way more class then the ducks,dont like em at all. go broncs

by mjbb on Jul 9, 2010 3:46 PM PDT reply actions  

great read

love reading this every night,keep giving me more and more info on the BRONCOS thanks

by mjbb on Jul 9, 2010 3:48 PM PDT reply actions  

if byu can shut him down in vegas bowl i think you guys can handle him.

boise 35-21.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Glory favors the bold. Chance favors the prepared mind. Luck, well i have that too. University of Utah goes to the Pac-12 conference in 2011. I expect them to compete immediately for the conference CG. I still will always follow the Mountain West Conference. Brock Lesnar will defeat Cain Velasquez and face the winner of Junior Dos Santos vs Roy Nelson where he will defeat JDS and stake his claim as pound for pound champion.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Jul 9, 2010 4:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ima go 35-14...

Winn and Swyck’ destroy the QB.
Venable kills one of the Rodgers bros (Not literally of course).
Tevis returns an interception for a TD.
Doug Martin gets 2 TD’s.
TY 1TD.
AP 1TD.
and then someone elses fills the last TD, Hiwat??

I do say the Beav’s will hurt a CB deep and get a TD and then a Rodgers scores the other.

=) Give me my pizzaaaaaa

Shake It Kid

by BleedBlue75 on Jul 9, 2010 6:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Hummm, higher score, less Brotz left hash kicks...

Okay, correction 42 – 14.

Extra TD coming from…..GOD =)

Shake It Kid

by BleedBlue75 on Jul 9, 2010 6:24 PM PDT reply actions  

couple things

I think we really want OSU to win at TCU, both to put an early end to TCU’s undefeated chances, and to bolster OSU. If OSU starts 1-2 they won’t be ranked for a long, long time.

Also, OSU always seems to start kinda slow and get better as the season progresses, so I think this bodes well for us (plus, it being at home).

Finally, the only way we could play OSU in the Rose Bowl is if the Big-10 sends someone to the NC game, so it’d pretty much have to mean an undefeated OSU Ohio State.

by killtacular on Jul 9, 2010 6:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Agreed

Beavers need to go 11-1. I will have family here from Corvallis for the game, and I don’t think they’re very optimistic of their chances, so I say we do our best to oblige em. They definitely need to win their first one though. And of course, so do we.

by broncoitis on Jul 9, 2010 7:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, and NO.

I’m sliding towards No at this point. I think what we did last year will keep us ahead of TCU. But a TCU win over Oregon State equals a win we’d have over them, plus it would help the MWC to have 2 highly ranked teams come BCS evaluation period. We need all the help we can get with Utah gone, thus we have to hope the new top 3 of the MWC (TCU, BYU, BSU) performs admirably this next year … yes, that means we have to cheer for BYU.

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Jul 10, 2010 7:56 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

actually cheer for air force for two reasons. first: i think they will bet byu this year and second

it would be nice to have a different top three in the top 25 and air force does play a ranked okie and navy this year. i actually think navy is better than okie. navy is stacked. only phil steele is high on okie and i can’t figure that one out. i think they will be fourth best in the last year in the big 12.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Glory favors the bold. Chance favors the prepared mind. Luck, well i have that too. University of Utah goes to the Pac-12 conference in 2011. I expect them to compete immediately for the conference CG. I still will always follow the Mountain West Conference. Brock Lesnar will defeat Cain Velasquez and face the winner of Junior Dos Santos vs Roy Nelson where he will defeat JDS and stake his claim as pound for pound champion.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Jul 10, 2010 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

heh

Ya, on a long-term scale, it is probably better for the MWC, and so eventually BSu, to have a TCU win. But, at the same time, this is a legitimate National Championship possibility season for BSU, and getting rid of any possible complications early may be a good thing. If, say, BSU beats both VaTech and OSU, and both of them end up ranked teams, that is very good for BSU, while if OSU starts 1-2, unless they really run rampant through the Pac-10, the win won’t count for much.

shudder rooting for BYU. My entire family are major BYU fans, and I love nothing more than rooting against them, but perhaps I will have to re-evaluate my ways.

by killtacular on Jul 13, 2010 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Love the read.

But i’m going to beat Drew to this:

What is a Rose Bow?

Riley is an amazing coach. He put Oregon State in a very similar position that Boise State it in. They have a superior coach who could be gone if a big timer calls, but he stays put and know this is home. I hope he stays around for awhile and we get some more State of Oregon games back on the schedule (this is the last of them, isn’t it? .. get the series going again, Gene!).

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Jul 10, 2010 7:59 AM PDT reply actions  

One more return trip to Corvallis in '14.

"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."

by MKingery on Jul 10, 2010 10:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

One more return trip to Corvallis in ’14.

I thought it was in 2012…

Obviously you're not a golfer...

by ty_ol on Jul 10, 2010 10:27 AM PDT reply actions  

Watched the '09 Civil War today.

Those Rodgers brother are going to something really serious to reckon with. I can only take comfort that Masoli and Blount were looking the same way before they visited Boise on the Blue.

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Jul 10, 2010 10:41 PM PDT reply actions  

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