BIFFF on Boise State versus Toledo

Kellen Moore was his usual prolific self on Saturday. But how prolific might he have been? The Boise State defense gave up more yards than usual. So what's up with that?

These are questions that BIFFF can help answer thanks to gamecharting, formulas, and some good old fashioned football analysis. Continue reading for the advanced stats and interesting tidbits from Boise State's win over Toledo, and let me know in the comments if the stats match your impressions.

The Bronco Institute of Football Facts and Figures (BIFFF)seeks to add context and numbers to Boise State statistics. Some of it is math, much of it is game charting, and the rest is pie charts.

The BIFFF Box Score

Statistics Explanations
Final Score 14 57
Swing Points 0 7 Points on defense, special teams or drives < 25 yds
Turnovers 5 0
Total Yards 287 500
Net Yards 243 434 Yards on offense minus penalties
Wasted Yards 193 64 Yards on non-scoring drives (including penalties)
Yds on Scoring Drives 129 411 Yards on scoring drives (including penalties)
Passing Yards 222 293
Completions 21 17
Attempts 29 23
Yds per Attempt 7.7 12.7
Rushing Yards 65 207
Attempts 31 40
Average 2.1 5.2
Penalty Yards 44 66
Penalties 5 5
Average 8.8 13.2
Plays 60 63
Yds per Play 4.8 8.0
Run:Pass Ratio 28:32 40:23
Negative Plays 7 1 Plays that gained negative yardage
Third Down Conversion Pct 55% 43%
Conversions 6 3
Attempts 11 7
Avg Yards to go 6.5 5.5
Avg Field Position TOL 28 BSU 38
Average starting field position

Notable:

  • Boise State would have averaged 2 yards to go on 3rd down were it not for a 3rd and 30 on the last series of the game.
  • The numbers show that Toledo's offense had a pretty decent day except for the copious amounts of turnovers. The Rockets converted more than half of their 3rd downs, they averaged nearly five yards per play, and they completed 73 percent of their passes. Teams have done much worse than that against this Bronco defense.
  • Boise State averaged nearly 13 yards per pass attempt. That is just not fair.
  • The Broncos' lackluster kickoff coverage did not show too badly in the final average field position stat, thanks to a couple of Toledo special teams penalties and some second half touchbacks by Trevor Harman. Hopefully he didn't use up his touchback quota in garbage time.
  • Boise State's only negative play of the game was a Drew Wright 7-yard loss late in the fourth quarter.
  • As far as game charting goes, this one was a tough one due to WAC TV's go-to replay angle being a very low sideline camera that was like watching the broadcast view except standing in a hole. 
  • Thanks again to MKingery for his help with this weekly feature.

The five most interesting stats from Boise State versus Toledo

2010-10-12_122630_medium

Boise State missed a lot of tackles

The Broncos were at their tackling worst on Saturday night, whiffing 17 times on Toledo ball carriers. That was by far the highest total of the season and the only time so far that the team has even been in double digits.

Your missed tackle leaderboard from Saturday: Jeron Johnson (4), Kharyee Marshall (2), George Iloka, Aaron Tevis, J.C. Percy, Byron Hout, Jarrell Root, Shea McClellin, Winston Venable, Brandyn Thompson, Jason Robinson, Antwon Murray, Tommy Smith.

2010-10-12_121911_medium

Boise State was successful on four out of five rushing attempts

Note: Successful plays gain 50 percent of needed yards on 1st down, 75 percent of needed yards on 2nd down, or 100 percent of needed yards on 3rd or 4th down.

Out of Boise State's 40 rushing attempts Saturday night, 32 times the Broncos had successful plays. Jeremy Avery went 5-for-7, and Doug Martin was 7-for-8 (he would have been 8-for-8 had he gained a single extra yard on his four-yard 1st and 10 carry).

2010-10-12_122013_medium

Toledo passed with more success than usual against Boise State

Again using the metric of successful plays, the Rockets were 17-for-29 on dropbacks Saturday night, converting successful plays nearly 60 percent of the time. A big part of that was WR Eric Page whose 11 receptions were successful nine times, including five straight to open the game.

2010-10-12_122145_medium

Kellen Moore was even more on the money than we thought

Moore threw incomplete six times on Saturday night, and here they all are:

  • Sideline pass to Austin Pettis. Drop.
  • Pass over the middle to Austin Pettis. Drop.
  • Screen pass to Doug Martin. Drop.
  • Sideline throw to Titus Young. Missed throw.
  • Out route to Tyler Shoemaker. Pass broken up.
  • End zone pass to Titus Young. Throw away.

To recap: three drops, a PBU, a throw away, and one miss. Give this man his Heisman already!

2010-10-12_122536_medium

Toledo blitzed extensively on Boise State's two-minute drill drive

The Rockets must have thought that pressuring Kellen Moore was the easiest way to ensure that a 90-yard drive in 70 seconds didn't happen. Not so much, huh. Toledo blitzed on four out of Moore's five completions, and before you knew it, Boise State was at the five yard-line, knocking on the door.

Your turn

What are your thoughts on Boise State's stats against Toledo? Did it feel like the Rockets were having success through the air? Do you think Pettis deserves credit for his two drops? Share your thoughts in the comments.

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