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Boise State's next great NFL-ready draft prospect is ... OT Nate Potter

With the departure of Kyle Wilson to the NFL this offseason, Boise State is left with a fairly large void in the department of Obvious NFL-Ready Player. Cue Nate Potter!

After the jump, take a look at where current Bronco players land on early NFL Draft boards and discuss which current Bronco would be the best fit in the NFL. Do you agree with Potter's rating? Would you take Jeron Johnson or Austin Pettis? Where would you put Kellen Moore? Let's discuss.

Star-divide

The ratings

Below are the rated prospects for the 2011 and 2012 drafts, according to NFLDraftScout.com. Nothing I have found goes outside of 2012, and the players who are not listed are obviously not on anyone's radar. Surprised by some of the ratings? Think some players got snubbed?

A bittersweet thank you to Jeremy Childs

Last year at this time, Boise State WR Jeremy Childs announced that he would be turning pro. Three months later, he went undrafted and has since failed to land on a professional football team - NFL, CFL, or otherwise. Did Childs' experience scare off any players on this year's Bronco team?

The ones most likely to leave were Austin Pettis and Jeron Johnson, and each has made it public that they are sticking around (the early entry deadline is Friday, so here's hoping I didn't jinx that). Still, you have to wonder if Pettis or Johnson had not seen their former teammate fall on hard luck, would they be preparing for the draft right now? How high would either play have realistically been taken?

Multi_medium

Nate Potter ... the next Ryan Clady or the next Daryn Colledge?

In the 2012 NFL Draft, Nate Potter is expected to be the third offensive tackle, a sure-fire first round pick, sign a multimillion dollar contract, and make an impact right away on an NFL team. All this from a guy who didn't even start the season opener this year?

Potter's ascent to big-time NFL prospect certainly caught me off guard. He has no doubt been a solid lineman for the Broncos this season, but when I watch him play, I am not picture him holding down Jared Allen on an NFL Sunday. Can he get there? Absolutely. The question I guess we need to consider is if he gets there by the end of next season, will he turn pro early?

Of course, Potter's rise in the eyes of the NFL is great news for Bronco fans because it affirms that BSU has its next great offensive lineman to follow in the footsteps of Clady and Colledge. The Boise State football team was lacking a superstar on its offensive line, and it might be that Potter is just the man for the job.

Kellen Moore's NFL prospects about as good as you might expect

As great as Kellen Moore is at playing quarterback, many people understand (perhaps even Moore himself?) that college football might be as good as it gets for the prolific passer. He is not your standard NFL QB prospect, and the draft ratings reflect that.

I did not mind the No. 17 ranking at first glance, but then I took a look at the quarterbacks in front of him. Yes, ladies and gentlemen, that is the same G.J. Kinne from this year's Tulsa game.

RankQBSchoolHeightWeight
1 Ryan Mallett Arkansas 6-6 238
2 Blaine Gabbert Missouri 6-5 240
3 John Brantley Florida 6-3 218
4 Nick Foles Arizona 6-5 235
5 Terrelle Pryor Ohio State 6-6 235
6 Dayne Crist Notre Dame 6-4 235
7 Kirk Cousins Michigan State 6-3 205
8 Cameron Newton Auburn 6-6 242
9 Jacory Harris Miami (Fla.) 6-4 190
10 Jordan Jefferson LSU 6-4 220
11 Stephen Garcia South Carolina 6-2 220
12 Aaron Corp Richmond 6-3 200
13 Ryan Lindley San Diego State 6-3 205
14 Austin Davis Southern Mississippi 6-2 208
15 Matt Scott Arizona 6-3 190
16 G.J. Kinne Tulsa 6-2 215
17 Kellen Moore Boise State 6-0 187

Forget a playoff. Obama needs to get to work on this.

Austin Pettis climbs the ratings by doing nothing

Pettis is the eighth-best receiver in the 2011 draft class, provided that all the receivers from the 2011 draft class stay in school. Surprise! They aren't!

For those of you keeping score at home, Austin Pettis will be the second-best senior wide receiver in the country next year. Thank you, attrition.

No Billy Winn?

The biggest surprise for me was the absence of Boise State's stud DT Billy Winn. You are telling me that the Arizona Cardinals could not use Billy Winn on their defensive line tomorrow? I need to get Brenda Warner on the phone.

Kurt-warner1_medium

 

Which player do you think should have been on the list?

Other thoughts

  • While I'm on the topic of surprises, I was not expecting to see Jason Robinson's name and not Winston Venable's on the list. Does this mean that Robinson is more of a pro-style player than Venable? It could be that the two players project to different positions - Robinson to safety and Venable to linebacker. Still, I've seen worse linebackers in the NFL than Winston Venable. If David Vobora can start games for the St. Louis Rams, then Venable most certainly can.
  • Aaron Tevis could end up being a very good NFL player. Of course, I said the same thing about Colt Brooks.
  • So if Matt Slater beat out Nate Potter for the starting job at the beginning of the season and Brenel Myers beat out Matt Slater for the starting job at the end of the season, is Brenel Myers possibly a better prospect than Nate Potter?
  • It is good to see Jeron Johnson rated so high at his position. Someone must have burned the Fresno State game tape.

Your turn

What do you think of the NFL Draft ratings for Boise State's next crop of players? Can Nate Potter live up to the potential? Did Kellen Moore get an unfair shake? Who on the current roster is getting snubbed by the NFL? Share your thoughts in the comments.

0 recs  |  Comment 38 comments |

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Consistency is what matters

From my observations, NFL prospects are often judged by high performances panning over their last 2 years in college or more. Some think that Ian Johnson’s slump after his sophomore year is what cost him being drafted. I think the NFL looks for players who can consistently perform at a high level season after season. Take Ryan Clady for example. He was a stud the entire time he played for Boise State, and he’s still playing at that same level for two seasons now in the NFL.

If Nate Potter, Kellen Moore, and others are to have a shot at being drafted I think consistency is the key. Kyle Wilson’s been consistently good, maybe not great in the eyes of NFL scouts, but at least consistent. So we’ll see, I guess.

by CaptainBronco on Jan 14, 2010 11:22 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Was it you that put up the stats on the win/loss ratio when Jeron starts?

As I recall it was amazing and its probably better now. We have great safeties but I think Jeron adds an intangible element to Iloka/Venable(redoubtable in their own right). I’d take JJ over Pettis no rap on latter. NFL doesnt draft/keep acrobats-its all speed, and he aint got. Secondary can supply smarts etc to compensate, but at wr, if you aint fast you aint bw. I pointed out silver lining to Tom Scott re Childs-it would keep players here. Plus if we had to lose between Wilson and childs we made out better.

tvmunson

by tmunson on Jan 14, 2010 11:28 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I tried telling you..

guys about Nate Potter. He’s the real deal. You’d be surprised at how athletic & mobile he is for his size. One area I know he needs to improve – flexabilitly.

by Drofdarb23 on Jan 14, 2010 11:29 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I shall never doubt you again!

You could not have been more right about Potter. Remind me again your theory for why he wasn’t a starter at the beginning of the season?

"Only film the ones that are standing, Kenneth." - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Jan 14, 2010 11:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Haha

I dont remember my theory but if I had to guess.. It was something along the lines of a combination between injury and motivation. He’s had 2 shoulder surgeries and I believe he tweaked his knee in Fall camp before the Oregon game. I think the coaches named Slater the starter to protect Potter and motivate him to play better and force the coaches to give him the LT job. Also, Nate played RT last year and I was told the transition between the the tackle positions is much harder than it would seem. That may have been a factor that lead to Slater starting ahead of Potter vs Oregon.

by Drofdarb23 on Jan 14, 2010 12:19 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Chase Baker should've made the list too.

Mark this down, friends: JC-transfer Tyrone Crawford might be the best DE we have next year. And that is saying something.

by Drew Roberts on Jan 14, 2010 11:59 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Crawford is a canuck.

Had the speed and agility to play TE and was enough of an athlete to get it done on the hardwood as well up in Ontario. Bulked up a bit at Bakersfield CC and had something like 13 sacks last year without even playing in every game.

by Drew Roberts on Jan 14, 2010 12:49 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Billy Winn is the biggest surprise to me as well...

NFL scouts have notoriously drooled over size and potential while diminishing on field performance.

For this reason I can see why, at 6-6 295, Potter is receiving the attention and why there are several taller QBs that haven’t taken many college snaps are rated ahead of Kellen.

Billy Winn seems to have the size and the on field performance but is still snubbed. A little surprised to see Iloka left off as well, but he may be overshadowed by the rest of his teammates in the secondary.

"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."

by MKingery on Jan 14, 2010 12:25 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Draft Projections

should be taken with a grain of salt. The NFL draft is an inexact science with many variables; character, durability, speed, intelligence, etc. All these web sites (including ESPN ahem Todd McShay & Mel Kiper) are basically just guessing based on what they think. The only evaluations that really matter are the evaluations done by the scouts for each franchise and evaluations from the NFL Draft Advisory Board.

Example: Jeremy Childs. From my understanding, he receiving advice from Orlando Scandrick, family members, and most likely looking at random web sites touting draft projections instead of listening to what the NFL Draft Advisory board had to tell him. (Granted, there were also other factors in play, including: his daughter & his academic ‘issues’ at Boise State.) The majority of these draft projections are for us, the fans, to bicker and discuss.

by Drofdarb23 on Jan 14, 2010 2:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

draft advisary board

i heard that they are really conservative with their assessments so that if they’re wrong, they don’t get the information thrown back in their faces. childs probably knew that and thought his value was higher. maybe should have listened.

Grindhouse

by Grindhouse on Jan 14, 2010 2:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Haha

what I was trying to get at before I ended up off topic was, dont be alarmed that Billy Winn or George Iloka were left off these lists. If they’re good enough to play in the league, the draft advisory board and nfl scouts will notice them.

by Drofdarb23 on Jan 14, 2010 2:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Kellen Moore named 1st team QB on ESPN All-American Team

Since I didn’t have enough text, I couldn’t post this as a FanPost, so here it is! I hope this is not old news; if so, I apologize!)

by typhoonblue on Jan 14, 2010 12:49 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

ESPN AA Team

If this is indeed “new” news, one of you OBNUGers who is a helluva lot smarter than me may want to post the video as a FanShot. It’s located on the home page of ESPN NCAA Football link.

by typhoonblue on Jan 14, 2010 12:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

done

Catch me on the BroncoNation Podcast!

by OBNUG Intern on Jan 14, 2010 12:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Kellen Moore

I do not expect Moore to make it to the NFL since he is so small…yet it should be noted that Matt Scott at Arizona was the starter earlier in the year and got benched because he was so bad (and this was during non-conference season, not the Pac-10 season). I am sorry but due to his intelligence, Moore HAS to be rated higher than a guy that can’t even keep his starting spot against teams that are not even good enough to be in the WAC.

by sundevil555 on Jan 14, 2010 12:56 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Some of you may hate the comparison.

But I see Mellen Moore taking a Ty Detmer NFL career.

He’ll have pads on every game, but he’ll also have a headset. I see his NFL career giving him some good, not great, money, and then he’ll take over Coach Petersen’s job when he retires in 10 years.

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Jan 14, 2010 5:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Best New Nickname?

From now on, I’m calling him Mellen as a nod to that huge football brain he has.

(“It’s round, yet pointy in parts — got it’s own weather system”)

by casketbase on Jan 14, 2010 8:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Literal LOL

Whoops. Talk about a typo. o_O

"Everyone counted us out. I don't know why they keep doing that." -- Kyle Wilson

by Loque on Jan 14, 2010 8:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks!

Thanks to the Intern for getting this on FanShots!

by typhoonblue on Jan 14, 2010 1:12 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

You're welcome!

That’s what I’m here for!

Catch me on the BroncoNation Podcast!

by OBNUG Intern on Jan 14, 2010 1:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

their a little screwed up in their classes

Wynterswyck is a senior in ’10 and so is Thompson, Harper is a soph bc he got a year back

tvmunson

by tmunson on Jan 14, 2010 2:02 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

They have it listed as "Draft Class"

so Kyle Wilson will be in the draft taking place in 2010. Winterswyk will be a candidate in the 2011 NFL draft.

I don’t think BSU has filed or heard a decision on Harper’s medical redshirt yet, so he is still listed as a senior for next year.

"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."

by MKingery on Jan 14, 2010 2:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I thought Harper got it; I hope so.

We have a lot of ACl’s; I wonder how many will come back 100%

tvmunson

by tmunson on Jan 14, 2010 2:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Tyler Horn?

Hey, does anybody out there have any inside information on our newest recruit Tyler Horn? All I have been able to find is that he is a local kid, stands 6’4/ weighs 240 , and plays DE.

by dirtymule on Jan 14, 2010 3:18 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

uuuuggghh

If kellen was 6’ 4’’ 220 and had half his current talent he would be in the top 5 on that list. So much more about size than talent.

by DanThePro on Jan 14, 2010 6:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

If Kellen were 6'4"

He would be at UW.

Let’s all bow our heads and give thanks for short parents.

by casketbase on Jan 14, 2010 8:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

lol, great point

by DanThePro on Jan 15, 2010 3:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Iloka

After Winn Iloka seems the most obvious to be left off. He had a quiet year this year but pretty sure he was fighting injuries. But even with a quiet year, I don’t remember him getting burned by receivers. And I’m almost 100% sure he has never missed a tackle in his 2 seasons here. If it really is about consistency then Iloka should be on the list.

Side note, I’m really excited to have the #2 receiver in the nation on our team next year. And with attrition we will have 2 of the top 20 receivers next season.

by givemesomemoore on Jan 14, 2010 9:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

The Kellen Moore

ranking doesn’t surprise me, he doesn’t have the deep ball, and he’s short. Great college player, and will be great coach someday, but I’d be surprised if he plays a single NFL snap.

The one that does surprise me is how much higher Pettis is over Young. I think Pettis could have some NFL success as a possession receiver, but Titus can return kickoffs, and is definitely going to be super fast at the combine …

by killtacular on Jan 14, 2010 11:09 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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