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Final pregame thoughts on Boise State vs. Oregon

I am as anxious as all get out. 8:15 cannot come fast enough - 11:30 even moreso. I have not only  reached the point where I want the game to be over and fate to be decided, I have passed by it, driving at 100 miles per hour with my eyes closed, behind the wheel of Kyle Wilson's motor home, blaring T-Pain and singing along at the top of my lungs. Find a happy place! On a boat!

I need to get a few things off my chest. Feel free to vent for yourself in the comments.

Star-divide

I have been so irritable these past few days, it's not even funny. I'm cranky. I'm distant. I'm overwhelmed by the immense pressure of rooting for a team whose expectations, according to even the most cautious estimates, are perfection and immortality.

I have aged three years in three months.

Uncertainty is what really gets to me, and it has been doing so since my days of gulping Pepto-bismol before asking girls to banquets over the phone. This game ranks right up there among the worst. I was nervous last year for the Poinsettia Bowl, and look what happened. I was in agony over what the fate of the dog in Marley & Me, and we all know how that ended. If I can't have my Broncos undefeated and my fictional pets off the heart meds, then I'm a mess.

Marley-and-me-2_medium

Spoiler alert: The dog licks himself. (via thecia.com.au)

 

What's going to happen if the Broncos lose tonight? The consensus is that they'll be staying home for bowl season at the Humanitarian. That's not the end of the world. The end of the world will have far fewer truck stop commercials. But it will put a serious damper on the rest of the Boise State football season for all those thousands of fans who consider themselves fans when things are going well. Like Brian Murphy.

I think that is where this whole ordeal finally makes sense to me. I'm struggling with this game because it has taken on a life of its own. Boise State - Oregon has jumped the shark. It has broken past mere anticipation and become a caricature of itself. It's no longer an exciting season opener. It is the BIGGEST GAME IN BRONCO HISTORY AND IF YOU DON'T BELIEVE THAT YOU'RE A LOSER. And it is making me go insane.

Tonight's game is stressful and burdensome and wearying and weighty because all the hype surrounding it is taking away from my favorite part of Boise State football: the football.

Casual fans have gravitated toward Oregon - Boise State like tweens to a vampire movie. There's something for everyone who doesn't think critically about football. There's fan banter, Statesman gameday spreads, clever one-off T-shirt designs, unintentionally comedic local news anchor ad-libbed conversations, and hype. Oh, the hype.

11832799l2_medium

Lawsuit up! (HT: cexeko via cdn0.sbnation.com)

I don't enjoy that. I enjoy sitting down and watching the Broncos play football. It doesn't matter to me if they are playing against Oregon or Idaho. I don't even care if the game counts or if it is practice. Just let me see Kellen Moore throw darts from the pocket, Kyle Wilson lock down a receiver, and Ryan Winterswyk hold the edge on a sweep. Beautiful Bronco football makes me happy. I don't need all these extras.

My life as a Bronco fan doesn't hinge on the outcome of  tonight's game against the Ducks. Win or lose, the fun is just starting for me, and the sooner I can get past all this bloated hype, the better off I - and those in my immediate vicinity - will be.

Let's get to the football and get past the talking.

Actual analysis time

Well, there are 500 words I'm never going to get back.

Coach Pete had an interesting take on the most important factors in tonight's game. From the BroncoSports Twitter:

Keys_medium

Special teams

Advantage Broncos? Boise State has one of the best special teams units in the country and returns several stars off of last year's stellar group. Oregon has a true freshman punter and question marks in a lot of places. Whether it's Kyle Brotzman flipping the field in the punting game or Kyle Wilson changing the way the Ducks handle their kicks, Boise State goes into the game with the edge.

Turnovers

I'm not even going to touch this one. There are simply too many factors that could swing this in either direction.

Tackling

Coach Pete makes a brilliant point by bringing up tackling. Like I mentioned on Monday, Boise State's defensive players will be in the right positions to make plays. Whether they make them is the real question. And the same is true of Oregon. No matter who you are or what conference you play in, if you don't make tackles, the other team is going to have success. Having the other team miss tackles is Idaho's main offensive strategy. Sure tackles will make a difference tonight. No doubt about it.

LeGarrette Blount scares me more than Jeremiah Masoli scares me

Anyone else?

Boise State's offensive line

I feel pretty confident that the Broncos should be able to move the ball on the Ducks. Oregon has some green players in the secondary and on the D-line. Kellen Moore will have some open receivers. Bronco running backs, with UO players playing the pass, will have some holes.

I'm just not sure how the BSU offensive line will hold up.

My biggest area of concern is in pass protection. In the spring scrimmages, Boise State put up some gaudy passing stats, but Kellen and Co. didn't exactly have loads of free time in the pocket. Oregon has to do something to set the tone on defense. I think that will include blitzes and stunts to create pressure on Moore. I'm curious/terrified to see how the O-line handles it.

Allow me to bogart some comments

From MKingery:

I am so glad this game is not being played in China. Kudos to Gene for only agreeing to a China game if the Ducks still agreed to play another game on The Blue.

I wish Jeron Johnson would wrap up more. I am not a fan of the big shoulder hit. If he had went to wrap up on Blount instead of lunge at him, we wouldn’t have to see the TD highlight of Blount leaping over Reveles.

Is that the best crew ESPN can send here? I would even take Mike Golic again.

RE: China, no kidding. How terrible would that have been? This game has been so good for the Boise State program locally and nationally. Exposure for a China game would have been intense, but to have so much attention focused on Boise, Idaho, has been a very good thing.

RE: Jeron Johnson, his aggressiveness fits perfectly into one of Coach Pete's keys. If Johnson can play aggressively and be a sure-tackler, he is one of the best safeties around.

RE: ESPN crew, I had no idea that Bob Davie was still alive.

From TitoRay:

I hope Coughlin is ready to step in, because you just know the Ducks will be head hunting on Kellen.

Someone had to say it, and I'm glad it's not me. If anything should happen to Kellen Moore, what will happen to the Bronco offense? Coughlin looked solid in fall scrimmages, but scrimmaging against Boise State's No. 2s is a lot different than playing against the Oregon Ducks. Coughlin has a Taylor Tharp feel to him, which could either be really good (Tharp vs. WAC teams) or really bad (Tharp vs. Washington).

From forum8usa:

TCU ran all over and only scored 17.

We all discussed whether the Broncos could win without running the ball effectively. But can the Broncos win without stopping the run effectively? Forum8 makes a good point that TCU owned the Broncos on the ground and didn't really put up big numbers on the scoreboard. I think Oregon has the home run threats to turn rushing yards into big plays and points, but it will be interesting to see how strong Boise State's bend-but-don't-break defense is this year.

Got anything to add before the game kicks off? There will be a comment thread going up later today and a postgame wrap shortly after the game ends. If you're going to the game, send me a Tweet @obnug or email me tips@obnug.com to let me know where you'll be, and I'll try to run into you. I'll be in the NEZ watching the game with my hands over my eyes if you want to join me, and I'll attempt to check in on comments and Tweets throughout the game.

And all the people said ... Go Broncos!

3 recs  |  Comment 25 comments |

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I think my butterflies are getting motion sickness

I can’t do anything functional today.

Come on clock… move faster.

I have attended every home Boise State football game since 1992.

by JasonHaberman on Sep 3, 2009 10:04 AM PDT reply actions  

The gift that keeps on giving

As I ramp up my pre-game assault on Duck fans. I am more and more antsy with each passing hour. I envoke a lot of angst in the hearts of our foes, with my bumbling rants and inflammatory remarks.

But remember Duck fans, its all for the fun of the game. I build my own anticipation just provoking you, and I laugh heartily along the way.

Man I’m a sadist.

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 10:12 AM PDT reply actions  

This is so low grade

Trust me, before Washington games, even though they suck, that’s when you see the real hate come out of Oregon fans.

Our rivalry with OSewe (inside joke involving alleged sheep sex by former OSU players) is more friendly, UW is all out hate.

"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely

by skywaker9 on Sep 3, 2009 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not in for the hatred.

I’m in for the insidious comments about your intelligence. And, to make fun of your lack of correct grammar, puncuation, and spelling.

oh yeah, and the football…

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

You amuse me, Mikrino. Please keep it up. :)

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Sep 3, 2009 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

In all seriousness.

You guys over at AtQ have been great fun in our exchanges. I said in an earlier comment that once this game is over, we really won’t have this type of back and forth with any other team.

I try to keep it light. While at the same time raise the ire of the opposing fans and build up to kickoff.

I’m sure most on here will watch with great intensity, wherever they may be. And if I did anything to increase their level of interest (even if its only to tell me off tomorrow), I consider it an acomplishment.

I love college football. Especially the Boise State kind.

GO ORANGE! GO BIG BLUE!
FIGHT!
FIGHT!
BSU!!!

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

Such a tool

I can get you a toe by three o'clock this afternoon.

by KyleC on Sep 3, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

rec'd! -for ignorance and stupidity.

Because hey,

Somebody’s gotta do it!

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I wont even think about it!

i read up until it said “what if the broncos lose tonight.” Kevan relax we are going to win tonight and go undefeated!

Boise State Football/ Southern California RepresentativeOUT!!!

by TERMINATOR-M on Sep 3, 2009 10:16 AM PDT reply actions  

a life of it’s on

a life of it’s own.

Ridonkulous!

by OBNUG Intern on Sep 3, 2009 10:36 AM PDT reply actions  

major grammar fail

Rand is right. Freudian slip.

Fixed it.

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Sep 3, 2009 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

Absolutely!

There were times when the thought of just what BSU is going to do to that fowl team from Oregon tonight made me excited. Those days are over (forgive me while I vomit). In all seriousness, and I have written about it more than once (maybe twice), it is just another game. The Ducks are not USC for goodness sakes; this team is the middle rung of the PAC 10. Oh yeah! The team that has me concerned other than will the Broncos put 60 on the Vandals is Tulsa. I think we need to put 50 on them. But hey the Ducks are a little green on the D and they like green (or is it yellow?); thus it seems like 50 is doable. Broncos 51, fowl boys 26. Go Kellen, Go Shoe, Go Hout, oh heck Go Broncos.

by Banachek on Sep 3, 2009 11:07 AM PDT reply actions  

I feel your pain

At the beginning of the off-season I was completely confident about the game. As time has passed through the summer my confidence started to dwindle more and more. Now today, as I sit here, I’m a nervous ridiculous wreck. I haven’t felt like this since the Fiesta Bowl, thanks to all the hype.
I’m just as confident now as I was earlier in the year that the Broncos can win (and they should). It just happens to be in my nature to freak out once the game nears. I can relate to Kevan’s irritablilty. I feel like the HULK…without the muscles.
8:15 can’t come soon enough. I’m ready for the Broncos to show last year wasn’t a fluke. I’m ready to stop sweating in nervous anticipation.

Go Broncos!

Watch out BCS...one day Boise State will be National Champs.

by Dr. Jrig on Sep 3, 2009 12:05 PM PDT reply actions  

TCU vs Oregon, yards and points

The nature of the two beasts yardage vs. points-wise was quite different last year, and most years.

TCU outgained several opponents and scored rarely, Oregon translated yards into points much more regularly. I think if Oregon had outgained anyone like TCU did in a bowl? The score would have been more lopsided. They outgained us (Utah) and lost.

I personally believe your D will be severely tested; yet, I think playing at home gives Boise a huge advantage. That turf, heh, I know you guys love it (I was born in Boise and do root for you), but it galls my senses!

;-)

Intangibles? Oregon ended the year on an incredible high. Plus, they feel they owe you one, so is it possible for your team to be as pumped as theirs? Perhaps.

BSU is a team that never seems to be flat and certainly is not afraid of anyone. Your coach prepares well, it’s a huge game for you and could make the entire season as some have opined.

I put this game’s outcome on the new coach at Oregon, if he brings them together at Boise like they ended last year, I think you guys will have an extremely tough time of it. If not, hmmmmm . . . . .

Moore is a great player, enjoy him while he is there. Blount and Masoli are fantastic and fun to watch as well.

May the best team win, but I’m picking the Ducks in a revenge-motivated offensive slug fest. As a partisan Utah fan I also want a matchup with them being unbeaten. Well, plus I kind of think they owe you for last year and football karma should balance out, in my personal opinion.

Good luck, have fun tonight you guys.

by MeanBobMean on Sep 3, 2009 12:41 PM PDT reply actions  

rec'd for objectivity.

good post.

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 12:57 PM PDT reply actions  

I enjoy your writing.

So I’ll probably keep coming back here, LET’S GO BRONCOS!

by appleshampoo on Sep 3, 2009 1:05 PM PDT reply actions  

You should. Kevan and company is the bees knees when it comes to Bronco Blogs.

Watch out BCS...one day Boise State will be National Champs.

by Dr. Jrig on Sep 3, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

As a neutral observer...

…I hope for a great game tonight. I also hope that these two teams will play each other more often. It has all the makings to turn into a heated rivalry.
Are there any more games between UO and BSU scheduled for the future?

by VT89 on Sep 3, 2009 1:28 PM PDT reply actions  

There are some talks of extending series between UO and BSU but it won’t be any time soon or in near future…

by Magnanimous M@tt on Sep 3, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Both sides have said they are interested in continuing the series, but as Matt said, it won’t be in the next 5 years or so.

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Sep 3, 2009 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Only a little over five hours till kickoff. I can survive that. I think.

I agree with everything you said, Kevan. And win or lose, it will be great to have football back.

"Well, we'll just have to get to know each other a little better then. I like Ferris wheels, college football, and anything that goes more than 200 miles an hour."

by orangecircus on Sep 3, 2009 2:04 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

rec'd for excellent use of strikethrough

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Sep 3, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Duck Fan Haiku

No late hits this year
You dirty stinking hippies
Go back to Eugene

by harvey.catalano on Sep 3, 2009 4:08 PM PDT reply actions  

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