Predict the Score: Boise State vs. Oregon
by Kevan Lee on Sep 2, 2009 11:53 AM PDT
in Boise State football
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PrintIt's prediction time, Bronco fans. Leave your best guess at the final score in the comments, and you'll be eligible to win two free meals to the RAM. Throw in some bonus predictions, extra thoughts, nervous babbling - whatever you need to get off your chest.
Let's take this to the comments. Race you there.
Reading material
Predictions from others
- Off the Pond is picking the Ducks (obviously).
I probably should risk everything and put all I have on an Oregon win. It’s a lock.
- Uncle Boise gets the ladies involved in the predictions. Two of three pick the Ducks to win.
Eugene does have better access to seafood, though, and I do love good seafood.
- Blue Turf Radio is confident the Broncos will find a way to win.
- Statue Left is going 35-30 for the Broncos.
Find any other predictions? Add them in the comments or shoot me an email.
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First!
Broncos 27, Ducks 24
I expect the game to be close. I expect both teams to come out with some first-game jitters. I expect the difference to be special teams.
"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis
As an Oregon fan
This is the game I am most concerned about all season. I am confident the Ducks will pull through to avenge last season. Its going to be an offensive showdown.
Ducks 34-31
Bing Neutron says:
Boise State: 42
Oregon: 27
The D will bend but not break and Kellen Moore will find the right places to put the ball. There will be a running game. I’m thinking it will start out a lot like the ’06 Oregon State game. Ducks start off strong then the D steps up and shuts them down just in time for the offense to take off. The Crowd will be INSANE!
Ridonkulous!
Well I was off by just a little bit
Aside from the score though, I was right on the money. Even Graham Watson agrees:
I asked: “Hey Graham, how ’bout this crowd.”
It’s a great crowd. I love the color coordination and it’s loud, which I think is giving the Ducks some problems.
This is my second time. My first was Fresno State. Couldn’t open the windows to the press box then, so this is much better…And this is a much more entertaining game.
Ridonkulous!
by OBNUG Intern on Sep 3, 2009 11:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Hey!
I did a similar post way back in May. I suppose its time for a new one though considering the game is tomorrow.
I’ll stick with my original prediction 38-21.
Masoli still can’t really throw the ball because of our secondary, his shortness and new receivers. And he can’t run because he’s on lock down by at least one man on the D, like Kaepernick was last year. Blounts tubby-butt gets winded, so he can only run 1 of every 4 plays and doesn’t do much, maybe one sweet hurtle or something like last year, but thats it. BSU’s running is improved with maybe a touchdown or two in the red zone, but It’ll be Kellen’s golden arm that wins the day against an overhyped Oregon D.
LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!
"Gandhi didn't take a knee, Martin Luther King didn't take a knee, Thomas Edison didn't take a knee, and I sure as hell am not going to take a knee." - Dan Hawkins
Bronco fans are diluting themselves
The idea that the Ducks are going to get blown out by the Broncos is laughable.
They appear to be fairly evenly matched teams including all of their players on offense
and defense—yes, Moore and Masoli too—who are candidates for major college
player awards.
That said, the game will be high scoring with bad defense on both sides and it
will be decided in the final two minutes by one score.
I say the Ducks take this one, 41-38
The score
will be BSU 45 Oregon 42 in OT.
J. Johnson will tackle Massoli at the 1 yard line on 3rd and goal and the Broncos will block the tying field goal attempt… and yes, I will rush the field.
by Finloopio on Sep 2, 2009 12:38 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I can see it now.
Finloopi storms the field all by himself… get Jeron Johnson style tackled by a Boise PD officer. The crowd goes wild!
Ridonkulous!
by OBNUG Intern on Sep 2, 2009 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions
Broncos 38, Ducks 33
Eerily similar to last year’s game as the Broncos have to hold off the Ducks in the 4th. They’re gonna try to run, run, run…with marginal success and Masoli will have to take to the air late. This means picks.
Wait a second
They are gonna run run run with marginal success? What is your analysis behind this? Sure we have questions on the O-Line, but Blount vs. your depth-lacking D-line and small linebackers should make for a lot of running right up the middle of your D. Just wait until the 4th when Blount keeps going and dragging your LBs with him.
Isn't that what was supposed to have happened last year?
I hate everyone equally...especially Vandals!
Wait another second
Just wait until the 4th when Blount keeps going and dragging your LBs with him.
Don’t you mean, “Wait until the 4th when Blount is sucking air so hard that the flags on the goal posts will be waiving because of all that weight that he gained in the off season.” And I hear it wasn’t the “good” kind of weight either.
Just sayin’…
Ridonkulous!
Wait 3942387 seconds
Until kickoff
by SeattleDucks on Sep 2, 2009 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
rec'd for actually doing the math!
That seems like to looooong, can you break it down into a smaller number for me. Thanks!
Ridonkulous!
Scared to Death
BSU 35 Ducks 30….scoreboard could be flipped over easily….
We do not take counsel of our fears, our naysayers, or the unknown
Coach Pete January 1, 2007
Didn't know Boise was playing Oklahoma again this year.
the standard abbreviation for Oregon is UO.
by RipCityRoyCity on Sep 2, 2009 5:55 PM PDT up reply actions
Broncos 45 - Ducks 20
The 12th man should represent well tomorrow.
I believe the Broncos will more than cover the spread. My paycheck says different. I have faith in Kellen Moore and his stable of receivers. I believe the running game and O line will show the improvement we’re all hoping for.
Where I believe the difference in the game will lie is in the Defense and Special Teams. I’m predicting both to be off the charts tomorrow. I think this defensive unit will be forcing turnovers routinely. Special Teams is always stellar for Boise State, and I see no change on the horizon.
Coach Pete is sure to have gameplanned this to death. And its appears that Chip Kelly has some sort of handle on it too. I think Boise State has the edge here though.
And last, if I happen to be wrong, I will be here to hear from all you Duck fans. Just as I have promised. But expect me to make excuse after excuse until the next time our teams meet.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner
Boise State 42
Oregon 38
This guy is picking the Broncos.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
This game makes me
VERY nervous…in an Owen Wilson kinda way.
BSU-31
Oregon-28
Game winning FG in the waning seconds of the game…
I hate everyone equally...especially Vandals!
over under on ejections?
34-30 bsu
one ejection
3 personal fouls
moore 300+ pass
bronco rushing attack gets one lucky play
Magnanimous M@tt's crystal ball
I see… a physical game… Both legal and illegal hits… Oregon will score first… Coach Pete playing Risk with Coach Kelly… Masoli will attempt to run through a player but meet Jeron Johnson instead… Kellen Moore will get pressures on him in the pocket but being demi-god he is, he just fly over them.
All in all, I predict a good game for both teams – 35 – 24 Boise State!
by Magnanimous M@tt on Sep 2, 2009 1:06 PM PDT reply actions
Blind Faith and Homerism Says ...
Broncos – 31
Ducks – 23
Man, this first game is hard to predict! We all have our expectations, but nobody really knows how the teams are going to perform.
I hope Coughlin is ready to step in, because you just know the Ducks will be head hunting on Kellen.
If Kellen does get dinged, wouldn’t it be perfect if Southwick, a true freshman, came in and tossed a couple of TDs for the win?
Oregon fan says
Boise State hangs in there with my Ducks until the fourth and since, unlike last year, it will be close, Oregon pulls away a bit.
Oregon 45-BSU 35.
"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely
TheShrewd...Score
Boise State – 37
Oregon – 27
If playing in blue uniforms on a blue field is an unfair advantage, then isn't wearing green uniforms on a green field also an unfair advantage?
I say...
Boise State – 34
Oregon – 21
I predict the Boise State defense being the difference maker. I also predict that if Kyle Wilson gets a TD either via pick 6 or kick/punt return, then Boise State is sure to win.
Oregon will run...
…But it won’t matter, cause they got nothing else. TCU ran all over and only scored 17.
K Moore and the Broncos will own the Ducks’ defense. I predict at least 3 TDs for Moore and a TD a piece for Avery and Harper on the ground. The O-Line will step up and give Kellen the time he needs in the pocket. The Bronco D will punish the pass and make Oregon a one dimensional team again. Also, Brotzman will be good for a FG.
Boise State – 45
Oregon – 23
When you’ve got K Moore, what else do you need? Que Moore?
Moore on the ground aching
I think Kellen Moore is going to get close and personal with the blue smurf turf
with Matt Toeina standing over him after each sack.
I might even predict that his throwing arm no longer will be throwing. Out for the
season with a dislocation. His fault not ours.
Uh huh… sure… nice try.
I have attended every home Boise State football game since 1992.
by JasonHaberman on Sep 4, 2009 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions
You guys really need to do a reality check.
Harper isn’t playing anymore. The game won’t look ANYTHING like it did last year.
Arizona said all they can do is run.
Oregon State said all they can do is run.
Oklahoma State said all they can do is run.
865 Passing Yards and 6 TD passes later…
I mean, RAM meals are at stake here. Don’t let your homerism crowd your judgment from free food.
I’m not saying BSU can’t or won’t win. Just don’t base your entire judgment off of one game.
Food! Think of the FOOD!
"It’s spelled E-L-F T-U-S-H"
Looks like you need a reality check
The game won’t look ANYTHING like it did last year.
Are you also God and know the future? The score could be exactly the same for all we know.
Anyone’s guess is as good as the next . Especially considering its the first game of the season so no one knows precisely how they’re team might have, just predictions..silly duck.
I will have the food as well as the glory!! Mmmmmmmmm, beer & ribs.
"Gandhi didn't take a knee, Martin Luther King didn't take a knee, Thomas Edison didn't take a knee, and I sure as hell am not going to take a knee." - Dan Hawkins
^^ how their team might do..
man that was bad grammar. sorry.
"Gandhi didn't take a knee, Martin Luther King didn't take a knee, Thomas Edison didn't take a knee, and I sure as hell am not going to take a knee." - Dan Hawkins
I'll agree with JShufelt
I’ll bet my entire life savings on the Ducks completing a pass in the 2nd or 3rd quarter unlike last year. Stay classy Boise State, met a lot of fans last year at Autzen and had nothing but respect for their passion. Hope it is reciprocated this year. Good luck to your WAC schedule but I hate to break it to you. 42 – 24 Ducks!!
I saw it in a vision:
Boise State 34, Oregon 16
Boise State defense bends all night but doesn’t break, holding Oregon to three first half field goals. In the fourth, after Boise State makes it’s final score to go up 34-9, Oregon’s LaBlount rips off a long run to the endzone to give the Duck fans some fleeting hope.
Peyote. It's what's for breakfast.
Ducks have averaged 48 points a game when Chip Kelly has more than the standard one week of preparation. Oh, and 54 points when the opponent is bowl-caliber and the Ducks are not playing in Eugene.
Ducks 45-31.
Last time I checked, there is no "Hall of Average." - Oregon Football Coach Chip Kelly
Let's recap...
What was the score in Eugene last year heading into the 4th Quarter? 34-13? Yeah, that’s what I thought. And that was against the third youngest team in the country. Now you’re on The Blue, and unless Thomas comes in for Masoli and goes all pass happy, expect to walk out of Boise with a your tail between your legs.
1. The Blue is small and pathetic. We handed Michigan its worse loss they’ve had in their stadium, and it holds 70% more fans that are ten times as rabid as BSU fans. Bronco stadium has minimal influence to the outcome of the game. I’ve asked what makes it so hard to win at Bronco Stadium. I’ve yet to hear an answer that doesn’t reflect the fact of how bad the WAC is. The players and the coaches are going to be the biggest difference.
2. Different game. Different team. Again, any one that expects the same exact performance out of the ducks this year has some serious problems. Any one that underestimate Masoli’s arm has no clue what Masoli can do. Ref: Arizona, Oregon State, Oklahoma State.
"It’s spelled E-L-F T-U-S-H"
You've never asked Oregon State.
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
Yeah. I watched that game. Impressive game for BSU, and I think the crowd was well fired up. I know they’ll be as loud as possible tomorrow. But wasn’t that the OSU Beavers who finished 7-5 in 2004? Maybe that’s this year’s Ducks, but a lot of people think otherwise.
Last time I checked, there is no "Hall of Average." - Oregon Football Coach Chip Kelly
Sensitive much?
Brilliant! A reference to last year’s third quarter score does a lot to debunk the facts of Oregon’s offensive output under Chip Kelly the past two years.
Refer to JShufelt’s post above about the teams last season, a couple with defenses arguably better the BSU’s, who thought Masoli is one dimensional. That’s 865 passing yards and 6 TDs over three games. I suppose you’ll tell me that Arizona (ranked no. 23 in pass defense) and Oregon State (no. 22) weren’t as tough as BSU (no. 34), but, of course, the facts clearly suggest otherwise.
Last time I checked, there is no "Hall of Average." - Oregon Football Coach Chip Kelly
No...
You’re the sensitive one. You are trying to tell me last year doesn’t matter by bringing up stats from last year to prove your point. Make sense? No. Believe me, Boise State is a different dog on the Blue, and tomorrow night you’ll see why.
Cexeko
he is bringing up stats regarding Masoli whom you didn’t face but for half a quarter. Chris Harper played the featured quarterback in exactly 1 game last year. He then became a wide receiver.
You are a different animal on the blue:
Bowling Green – 20 points (allowed 23.2)
La Tech – 38 points (allowed 23.7)
Hawaii – 27 points (allowed 28.9 points)
USU – 49 points (allowed 34.7)
Fresno State – 61 points (allowed 31.1 points)
So, you averaged 39 points on teams that gave up an average 28. Btw, those teams you played really suck. USU was as bad a team as I’ve seen roll into Autzen – like Big Sky bad. Seriously, our guys 7 deep were getting double digit snaps. Does awful even begin to describe the competition you’ve played.
Beating Oregon State at home early in the season (2004 they started 1-4 and 2006 they started to 2-4) is nothing to write home about. They are notoriously bad to start the season. Hell, Oregon State starting the season 2-3 or 1-4 is guaranteed.
You have a home field advantage no doubt…but your record, in large part, is because you’re better than the teams you face by a wide margin. It’s not because you grow fangs on the blue turf.
Yup...
Not bad for a team that was third youngest in the country. They beat Oregon in Autzen. Also, I noticed you didn’t post how many points those opponents scored in the Blue last year. I think it was a 6.8 average. Its going to be a long night for Oregon.
by cexeko on Sep 3, 2009 5:59 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions
a couple with defenses arguably better the BSU’s,
WTH? Serious? Better? Excuse me… * turns back and laughs while rolling eyes *
Arizona, OSU, and OK State? You reference passing stats? Oh…My…God
The true measure of defensive strength is how many points they give up. (Scoring D)
In case you didn’t click that link, Boise State finished 3rd in Scoring Defense in 2008 (USC, TCU)
The true measure of a defense against the pass is pass efficiency defense.
Boise State ranked 2nd in Pass Efficiency Defense in 2008. (USC)
Thanks for walking into that one though. I feel good now…
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
I'll hold you to it...
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
I will cry like a little baby too...
in front of my family, which will be all BSU fans besides my Dad.
Hmmm.
Sounds like you and your dad need a good cry.
Have fun.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
we're waiting for it..... 8 points
Blount should also be kicked out of college football. Who has the cheap and dirty players now.
Broncos 27, Ducks 24.
I only say this because Kevan knows everything.
NEITHER TEAM WILL SCORE 30 POINTS, Mark that down.
by BustersBFF on Sep 2, 2009 4:35 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Run...
BSU 34 Oregon23. If the Broncos want to win this game they have to run the ball and at least average 2.5 yards a carry. With at least 25 carries. They also need to stop Oregon’s run game. Look for Oregon to do a lot of play action. And their D to zone blitz, a lot. GO BRONCO’S!!!!!!! I’ve been to every Boise State big game and will have to miss this one. Working harvest and have to run the Digger. Radio is ready thou.
Curtain's for any Bronco BCS hopes.
Oregon 41
BSU 17
Can I exchange my meals for some growlers of Buttface?
Wait a minute....Oregon is HEALTHY this year!!?? Uh oh.
Good call
on the growlers exchange. Buttface is my favorite. But Oregon won’t win that big, if at all.
Boi Blue
We'll always have Buttface.
At least we can agree on great beer!
Wait a minute....Oregon is HEALTHY this year!!?? Uh oh.
We’ll always have Buttface.
Sounds like a University of Idaho team slogan.
"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis
by Kevan Lee on Sep 3, 2009 7:09 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
rec'd for truism!
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
Kind Of Interesting
It looks like most Duck fans are predicting Oregon to score big, in the high 40’s and 50’s range. Bronco fans seem to feel the Bronco D will hold them to 20 or 30 points. It’ll be interesting to see how that plays out.
Not as close as most
BSU 34
Oregon 17
Boise State’s D will keep Masoli in check (except a few plays) and shows that last year was no fluke no matter whos playing QB.
Watch out BCS...one day Boise State will be National Champs.
Pick a Number Any Number on The Bronco Roulette
BSU 31, Oregon 27
Interceptions save BSU, in a close fought game where BSU can’t run, and the line of scrimmage gets ugly… Kellen passes well, but gets smacked around big time…
BSU 34 - UO 24
I want a more defensive game, but if we hold the Ducks to 24 points, I guess it will be.
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
I’m actually quite surprised that all BSU fans are specifically saying that interceptions will benefit their team, considering that Masoli had a lower INT rate that Kellen Moore last year….
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
Stats can say anything you want them too.....
For example completions to interceptions. Masoli = 27.2 completions for every 1 interception thrown vs Moore = 28.1 completions for every 1 interception thrown. Aren’t Stats GREAT!
What does that even tell you though? Likely it tells you both QBs will be as likely to throw interceptions.
I mean, anything can happen, but in all likelihood, interceptions won’t make a huge difference in the game.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
That's my point
Stats don’t tell you much because they can be manipulated to whatever story you want to hear. It’s all about who wins and stats will be there at the end of the game for reasons and excuses when all is said and done.
Come on man. If we’re talking about what will happen at the game, what has happened in previous games (i.e. stats) indicate that in all likelihood, interceptions will not be the difference in the game.
If you want to get all “it’s only about who wins”, why the hell did you even reply to my comment?
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
Stats
You listed a stat that favored Masoli, so I listed a similar stat that favored Moore. I didn’t think it was that difficult to figure out why I replied. Stats are always up for interpretation. So, what I am saying is maybe interception will play a big roll in tonight’s game, maybe they won’t. Only time will tell, and since you used your stat to come to the conclusion “I’m actually quite surprised that all BSU fans are specifically saying that interceptions will benefit their team, considering that Masoli had a lower INT rate that Kellen Moore last year….” Maybe these fans were basing their prediction on other stats. Do you get it now? Or should I go on………
You do realize that both stats had marginal difference at best? And that what all the stats point to, is not having interceptions make a big deal?
Based on previous stats, both QBs are roughly as likely to throw interceptions. Now, INTs could make a big difference in the game, but there is little reason to think that it well. And it’s not born out in any stats, specifically the ones that you used.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
I don’t totally disagree, but turnovers can and do play a major part in a lot of football games and to say that their is little reason to believe that INTs will make a difference is a point of view I can’t support. Yes, based on the stats there is not a statistical difference in how often the two QBs throw an INT. However, that doesn’t take into account the field position at the time, if the team who threw the INT was in scoring range or if the INTs resulted in points for the other team or not. I think there is just as good of a chance that they will or wont make a difference in tonight’s game.
I would would agree, but my counter is that there’s an equal chance that they could affect Oregon or BSU. So, if you assume that interceptions will make a difference in the game, it could go either way.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
Sounds good to me. Glad we got everything worked out. :)
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
they did last year.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
I need to make a correction to my score.
BSU 19, UO 8
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
by Loque on Sep 5, 2009 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
On the 8th day...
God created Kellen Moore.
And it was his destiny to pick apart the Oregon defense and leave them looking ridiculous……
36-28
Can’t argue with God.
38-18 Broncos
Our defense shows up even BETTER than expected, but Oregon gets lucky a few times. Kellen Moore shows us why there is no need to worry about a sophmore slump. DJ Harper has a breakout game, and Jeremy Avery doesn’t do to bad either.
"Well, we'll just have to get to know each other a little better then. I like Ferris wheels, college football, and anything that goes more than 200 miles an hour."
BSU 33 UO 24
Broncos seal the series with a touchdown late in the fourth. Blount fumbles and Iloka recovers and takes it to the house. Good night, Ducks,
Broncos 52 Ducks 24
Well, I have to stick with my original prediction of 76 total points scored (it wouldn’t make very much sense to have two different scores on two different blogs). I predict Wilson to score at least one touchdown (and don’t be suprised if it’s on offense), Avery and Harper combining for 150 yards (that’s all they will need), and Moore to have a minimum of 300 yards. Split up the touchdowns amongst the team as you please — this is gonna be fun.
Anybody else not sleep last night………
Graham Watson
Graham Watson wants to go to the Ram
No. 14 Boise State 28, No. 16 Oregon 17: Oregon’s man defense struggled last year; expect more of the same in the opener against Boise State quarterback Kellen Moore. Moore picked the secondary apart last year and with Austin Pettis and Titus Young, he’ll do it again. The Ducks are motivated to win this game, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to conquer the magic of the blue turf.
"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."
Oregon: 45 BSU: 31
Blue turf: still ridiculous, seizure inducing and a gimmick no one else is buying
Joe_Vandal: still ridiculous, seizure inducing and a gimmick no one else is buying
There,
that’s better.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
Bob Davie is a biased ESPN ROBOT
I cannot stand ESPN’s broadcasters…WHAT A JOKE…. “They have no talent”…blah, blah ,blah…EAT your words JackASS, I mean BOB…
GO BRONCOS!!!
BLOUNT DESERVES TO KICKED OUT FOR THE YEAR!
What a loser…
Score
Who won the contest?
We do not take counsel of our fears, our naysayers, or the unknown
Coach Pete January 1, 2007
peadiddy is our winner
a 24-17 final score prediction … RAM coupons on their way
"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis
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2012 Boise State Football Schedule
@ Michigan State  |
Fri 08/31 | 6:00 p.m. MT |
| Miami (OH) | Sat 09/15 | 2:00 p.m. MT |
| BYU |
Thu 09/20 | TBA |
| @ New Mexico | Sat 09/29 | TBA |
| @ Southern Miss | Sat 10/06 | TBA |
| Fresno State | Sat 10/13 | 1:30 p.m. MT |
| UNLV | Sat 10/20 | 1:30 p.m. MT |
| @ Wyoming |
Sat 10/27 | 1:30 p.m. MT |
| San Diego State | Sat 11/03 | 8:30 p.m. MT |
| @ Hawaii | Sat 11/10 | 5:00 p.m. MT |
| Colorado St. | Sat 11/17 | 1:30 p.m. MT |
| @ Nevada | Sat 12/1 | TBA |
