Final pregame thoughts on Boise State vs. Utah State
Later tonight, Boise State embarks on its final road trip of the regular season with a visit to Utah State. Are the Broncos in for more trouble than it seems?
Many people are labeling this a "trap" game, but on paper, the Broncos should have no trouble. What are your thoughts? Join me after the jump for the airing of pregame jitters, and feel free to share any worries, predictions, or reactions in the comments.
Just when you thought you were safe from the 3-3-5 ...
Toward the start of the year, the Boise State defense unveiled one of the coolest defensive wrinkles since last year's Nevada game. The 3-3-5 was born, and it was a hot blitzing mess.
And as if preparing for mystery blitzes and defensive ends playing linebacker wasn't hard enough, Justin Wilcox went and upped the ante. Bam! There's this now.

My apologies for being a week or two late with this. The formation above is taken from the Louisiana Tech game, and the result of the play was Darren Koontz chasing Ross Jenkins into an incompletion. The set-up is simple: a DE and DT lined up in the tackle spots, the two LBs lined up as stand-up defensive ends, and the other DE and DT at linebacker. Against the Bulldogs, Boise State dropped Derrell Acrey and J.C. Percy into coverage, blitzing Koontz and Jarrell Root from the middle, along with the rush of Byron Hout and Greg Grimes.
Depending on the rush, that could put Hout against an offensive guard on the pass rush, and it has Koontz and Root getting a full-speed head start on the QB. The Broncos could also switch it up and bring a linebacker off the edge and drop pretty much anyone into coverage behind.
Yikes ... and yes!
Did somebody say "trap"?
Everybody did, actually.
From the message board stylings of Scout.com to the word jumble of Graham Watson, the experts are soothsaying like there's no tomorrow. Which there won't be. If the Broncos lose.
From Watson:
Both Boise State and Nevada have games against teams with losing records this weekend and it would be easy to look ahead to next week’s game between the two schools that will ultimately decide the conference title.
Her score prediction also hinted at the Broncos looking ahead but ultimately landed on the side of reason (score update: Reason 1, Graham Watson 134). The same could not be said of Scout.com.
This game doesn't have to be close. But it will be and the Aggies can win if Boise State's players aren't ready to a man. This is an up-and-coming team to be sure. Don't be surprised if they beat Idaho next week. If Boise State doesn't come out playing their best football of the season, it is the Bronco players who will be surprised by the final result.
All of which leads me to an interesting question: Are you worried?
No doubt the Nevada game is a huge one, but Boise State is rarely accused of looking ahead. Could the youth of this team change that perception? Is this a game where inexperience plays a factor?
It is times like these that I am thankful for the UC Davis game (it is only at times like these that I am thankful for the UC Davis game because that thing was ugly). The Broncos all but admitted to overlooking UCD, and I would like to think that they learned a valuable lesson from that game.
There is enough tape on USU for the Broncos to see that the Aggies have talent and can be dangerous. If you believe that Boise State is hitting its stride and rounding into championship form, then you should have no worries about the Broncos overlooking the Aggies. If you think BSU is still finding itself, then I imagine this game worries you more than most.
Utah State plays to its competition ... will that make them a Top 5 team tonight?
Throughout the season, Utah State has been able to remain close with just about every opponent it has faced. Its largest losses were 18-point defeats at the hands of BYU and Utah. Its biggest FBS win was by 15 against San Jose State. Does that mean tonight's game against the Broncos will be close?
It very well could be, considering the weather, the ESPN adrenaline, the way the ball bounces, and Boise State's previous Friday night history.
However, it could just as easily be a blowout, too. Utah State has played to its competition so far this year, but they have yet to face a team as talented, deep, disciplined, and athletic as Boise State. The Broncos will be the best team to ever enter Romney Stadium. It will take more than a football idiom to get Utah State to play to the Broncos' level.
The bigger worry would be if Boise State plays down to its competition. Judging by the way they came out in their last few games, I'm not sure we'll see that happen again this season.
Allow me to bogart some comments
StatueLeft foresees a low-scoring game thanks to Jack Frost, Esq. and openly wishes for more no-huddle offense.
only keeping it that low due to the impending weather…..would love to see Kellen run the no huddle all the way down the field
Let's talk about the no-huddle for a moment. Are the Broncos more dangerous when they go no-huddle? They use the style sparingly, yet they are coming off a game against Idaho where they used it perhaps more than any other game this season. It would work against the Aggies because USU is thin along the front four, can be physically dominated over the course of the game, and is still learning how to play Gary Andersen's defense.
On another note: What weather would make the biggest difference? I rate weather in this order:
- Plague of locusts
- Wind
- Rain
- Snow
- Freezing temps
We could be in for No. 4 and No. 5 tonight, and depending on whether or not Mark May is the antichrist, maybe No. 1.
What's the pulse on the Bronco defense? Mikrino wants to know.
Boise State's blow out win last week covered up some porous defensive play.
I don’t think Utah State will be any better than Idaho was, but the Broncos did bleed yards that whole game. Fortunately it never translated to points, and as such, was largely ignored.
Nailed it.
The Broncos played some of their best defensive football in recent weeks against Louisiana Tech, San Jose State, and Tulsa (although the scoreboard didn't always show it). They did not play great against Idaho.
Diondre Borel and Robert Turbin can roll up the yards, so it will be important for the Bronco defense to get off the field on third down and prevent the Aggies from getting TDs in the red zone. Chances are good that the Boise State offense will be able to score at least 30. You'd hope that the Bronco defense can keep the Aggies from reaching the same.
I'm comforted by what the Broncos did to the Aggies last year, and according to Kyle Wilson (via the Scott Slant), it could be more of the same tonight.
Kyle Wilson knows BSU will have its hands full. Wilson said the Broncos will counter by "trying to get them out of their comfort zone. We’ll probably be disguising and showing different things."
2-4-5, anyone?
Talk amongst yourselves
What mood are you in as the USU game nears? Nervous? Apathetic? Excited? Do you think the Broncos could be guilty of looking ahead to Nevada? Share your thoughts in the comments. Gamethread will be up later tonight.
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Comments
just got on the bus...
…can’t wait until justice… Go Broncos!!
*Perfection is our goal, excellence will be tolerated*
If you're headed down that way with the Caravan...
Will someone give us losers (who have to work today) an update on the size of the group headed down to Logan? Are we going to fill the place tonight?
An article on Broncosports.com
Said there were at least 60 cars there this morning. Im not sure when that count was taken or when they left…
they will probably have more boise state fans there than utah state fans. lol.
do you think next weeks game with nevada will be like the 69-67 overtime game of 2 years ago. or does boise just destroy them?
yes i am obsessive, obnoxious, in your face and all about covering the spread. those are my good qualities.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 20, 2009 8:49 AM PST reply actions
Im not concerned..
with the players overlooking Utah State. I talked to a couple players this week and tried to get them to take the bait on Nevada & they wouldn’t do it. Both said that Utah State looks like a pain in the ass and that they’ve been in all their games this year. If anything, the cold weather might slow us down, or a lower level of competition (if we play down to their level), but I don’t think they’re looking ahead. Also, I read an article talking about how Coach Pete wants his team playing Championship football in November. I would say Coach Pete’s expectations for the team will help also.
Do you think the Broncos are playing championship football yet?
I think we’ll know after tonight. If they are playing championship football, then this game should be a blowout.
"Only film the ones that are standing, Kenneth." - Tony Perkis
I agree.
I dont think we’ve been playing championship football yet. We’ve definitely been improving and I think we’re getting closer. I’m waiting for an Oregon-like performance from the Defense combined with an Idaho-like performance from the Offense. That would be nice.
I don't care who we play...
I am nervous before every game. A “trap game”? Every game is a trap. That’s why you play the game. I see little guys beat big guys quite often.
I love the colors Orange and Blue. Go Broncos!!! Go Titans!!! BAD WORD Florida!!!
when your undefeated you tend to get everybody's best effort
it happens to all the 10-0 teams. that powerhouse chattanooga team might have some difficulty in matching up with bama
yes i am obsessive, obnoxious, in your face and all about covering the spread. those are my good qualities.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 20, 2009 11:47 AM PST up reply actions
I keep forgetting the Broncos play today
Even though it was one of my first thoughts when I woke up this morning. These Friday games keep throwing me off.
As I’ve said before I always have an element of nervousness before every game the Broncos play. However, today’s game is low on my nervousness scale. I’m confident the Broncos will take care of business. Like Kevan said, the Broncos are good at not looking ahead to their next game but at the same time they’re a young team. Maybe that could be the case tonight but I really doubt it. Bronco Nation will represent well in Logan and the players of course will really feed off that.
Today will be a good day.
"Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish."
Utah State has played to its competition so far this year, but they have yet to face a team as talented, deep, disciplined, and athletic as Boise State.
This after USU already played BYU and Utah. You are THE MAN, Kevan.
I think the key on defense is getting Utah State to be a one dimension team. We didn’t do that to Idaho. They had a good running back and no matter how many interceptions they threw, they still tossed the ball well to keep our defense true. If our secondary takes the passing game away with plenty of one-on-one, it will be very easy for our linebackers to contain Borel and Turbin.
I’m hoping for a repeat of last year, ala defensive TD in the endzone… sans two fluke 30-ish TD’s by Utah State.
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
Which dimension should Boise State make them?
I’d vote for passing. If the Aggies can’t run, they’ll be in trouble. I’d love to see Venable or Iloka play more in the box to dare the Aggies to pass. I think Thompson and Wilson can hang with their WRs.
"Only film the ones that are standing, Kenneth." - Tony Perkis
Actually, Running.
Boise’s D isn’t the best at the run, and Turbin could do things that Ryan Mathews would envy.
But I’d rather see the passing game non-existent and watch USU try to pound the ball into our front 2, 3, or 4. The clock would go faster and, hey, I’m a sucker for defensive games.
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
The Arbiter
Could be accused of looking ahead. The staff must be off next week for Thanskgiving, because in their weekly game preview section, they featured Nevada instead of USU. Ouch. I’m nervous, but not in the “Boise should really watch out for this sort of trap game” way as much as the “Anything can happen in football and that BCS game is SO DARN CLOSE” kind of way. I wouldn’t be surprised if Mark May came down in a helicopter and put some retired NFL ringers onto that Utah State defense just to make sure that we lost on the field, since outside a slim chance that Oklahoma State makes the Fiesta bowl, it’s not looking like the system is going to defeat us this year.
I'm not worried
This team may be young, but they do have experience and they know what happens if you look ahead and don’t play with intensity and focus against your present opposition. Maybe if we didn’t have the coaching staff we have, I would be worried.
Broncos roll. I think you will see some serious ground game tonight. This team knows how to play one game at a time.
The only thing I worry about is the other team getting cheap points on turnovers.
Signature Pending
If there is any coach in the nation who can keep this team from overlooking USU, it’s Coach Pete. I’m no more nervous for this one than I am for any other game. (Which is just kind of nervous.) But I’ll get over it.
I’d definitely love to see some more hurry up offense again. Especially at the beginning of the game. I think it helped us get into a rhythm faster than usual, and that’s never a bad thing. Plus, it might keep the players warmer!
I agree with the analysis of the defense last game. I’d really love to see our D-line have a breakout game across the board, and dominate USU’s O-line. Taking away the passing game with one on one coverage is going to be key.
"Well, we'll just have to get to know each other a little better then. I like Ferris wheels, college football, and anything that goes more than 200 miles an hour."
No Worries
I’m not worried at all, and that is probably a good reason to worry. I wouldn’t be surprised if USU played tough in the 1st and 4th quarters, with the Broncos reeling off about 40 points in the 2nd and 3rd.
I'm as worried as I was prior to last week's game.
Which is to say, I’m not worried in the slightest.
Utah State is 3-7. I don’t care who they “play up” to, the Broncos should roll this team by 30 points. I’m not looking ahead to Nevada either. But as I said previously, the Bronco defense had better shore up their yards allowed now. Because the Wolfpack keep up in the points department, if given the opportunity.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
As far as the Broncos overlooking an opponent,
Since Coach Pete took over the team in 2006 the Bronco are 44-2 in regular season games. Both losses the Broncos were underdogs on the road(2007-Washington, Hawaii).
I think I can say comfortably that a Chris Petersen coached team DOES NOT overlook opponents.
I say, no way they’re looking to Nevada next week.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
Noise
Ill be in Logan tonight for the game, and Ill be the only one Im sure with a blue horn.
Blow proudly my friend, blow proudly.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
It's always hard for me
to concentrate at work when the Broncos play on Fridays. Makes the day go by slower than molasses, too. I am stoked for the game…should be fun and I think that the Broncos will not be looking ahead to Nevada. As others have previously said, a Coach Pete team rarely gets caught looking ahead, which is largely why they have been so consistent in a conference that they dominate. I’m more worried about Turbin than Borel, but as long as the defense stops those two guys, they should have no problem.
by the collinator on Nov 20, 2009 10:05 AM PST reply actions
Interesting ...
why do you worry more about Turbin? Does he remind you of Mathews/Woolridge? Good RBs have done decent against the Broncos this year (Blount excluded).
"Only film the ones that are standing, Kenneth." - Tony Perkis
You touched on it
He does remind me a lot of those guys…Matthews especially. Also, he has already surpassed the 1,000 yard mark and is averaging 6.6 ypc. The good thing is Turbin and Borel are basically the entire Utah St offense and I think the Boise State D does good when they can focus on the few players that a team relies so heavily on. (Example: Blount and Masoli.)
by the collinator on Nov 20, 2009 10:48 AM PST up reply actions
Crissie
She’s on the front page of the Statesman in the Caravan.

"Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish."
by JRig on Nov 20, 2009 10:28 AM PST reply actions 6 recs
rec'd ! you better save that for her!
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
But seriously.
That is way awesome!
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
She got Obnug on the Broncos Facebook
KY Stands for Kentucky, for crying out loud.
by KYBronco on Nov 20, 2009 6:30 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
OBNUG, Help Me Out
A guy in my office, who I don’t know is much of a football fan, just came to my desk seeking a bet on tonight’s game. Of course, I’m the “Boise State Guy” in the office.
Anyway, here is his bet. He wants Utah State. Straight up. No points. He seems supremely confident that Boise State is going to lose tonight. The bet is only $5. Again, straight up. What throws me off, is that he is so OVER confident that this will happen. Almost like he knows something. But that is highly unlikely.
So, my question… am I crazy? Of course I took the bet… But at the same time I feel like I’m taking crazy pills…
I have attended every home Boise State football game since 1992.
You're crazy not to take $20
I don’t think I’ve ever met an OVERconfident Utah State fan. I thought they were mythical.
"Only film the ones that are standing, Kenneth." - Tony Perkis
I wish I knew...
I’m just confused by his bravado… I don’t think he’s from Logan or anything.
I have attended every home Boise State football game since 1992.
by JasonHaberman on Nov 20, 2009 10:41 AM PST up reply actions
I know how you are feeling
Last week I was at a Subway in Boise and there was this sandwich artist there who was unnaturally confident that the Vandals were going to beat the Broncos. It kind of scared me for like 5 seconds. We all know how the game turned out.
by the collinator on Nov 20, 2009 10:51 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
Rec'd for calling him a "sandwich artist"
Catch me on the BroncoNation Podcast!
by OBNUG Intern on Nov 20, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions
He could be a BYU fan.
..or, choose any fan from the Mountain West Conference (no offense wolfman- and mwconnection).
I try to give them props for when they do good, but I would be crazy to ever expect anything in return. They have Craig Thompson blinders on, (mostly) all of them.
"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale
Does he think we're playing them in basketball tonight?
Only logical reason for this inexplicable show of hubris.
by Drew Roberts on Nov 20, 2009 12:39 PM PST up reply actions
In Logan they call them..
basketball fans.
"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."
He's probably thinking Utah State is Utah!
Catch me on the BroncoNation Podcast!
by OBNUG Intern on Nov 20, 2009 10:40 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
Test his bravado.
Take the bet, but up the ante.
Like; “Yeah sure $5.00, and if I win I get to watch you shave your head and have Bronco logo painted on your bald dome.”
If he takes it, he’s supremely overconfident. And soon to be the laughing stock of your office.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
That's what I was thnking
If he’s so confident you should up the ante. If you can’t get him to paint a Bronco logo on his head, maybe you could squeeze 50 bucks out of him.
If he doesn’t take the bet it’s all a facade.
"Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish."
More cash is always good.
But something publicly demoralizing will keep him from testing your fandom in the future.
And it will need to be documented for posterity.
Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)
There's a sucker born every minute
Take that bet! It is your duty to educate any suckers in your workplace. It will also shut him up.
I would up it to $20 and if he turns it down, you won’t feel as guilty because you saved him money and made him choose wisely and he learns something. If he takes the bet, he deserves getting fleeced.
Signature Pending
Probably a Vandal
Who keeps telling himself that the “Bronco luck” is going to run out at any time now.
by Cougarflounder on Nov 20, 2009 4:42 PM PST up reply actions
I'm stoked
Wearing my new BSU jersey to the office for the first time, trying to figure out where I’ll go to watch the game tonight. Yeah, not much work getting done today.
Mariners/D Broncos/BSU Broncos fan in Seattle
I hear ya.
It’s mighty tough to focus on anything on game days other than the bliss it is of watching BSU destroy somebody.
by Rand McNalley on Nov 20, 2009 2:37 PM PST up reply actions
Predicting Unlikely Events
First, if you’ll excuse me, Argh! I forgot to set my DVR!!! Stupid Friday games!
Okay, back to the matter at hand.
People like Watson like to predict that the Broncos will lose because if the Broncos lose, they will look really smart. It’s why teams like Clippers or the Arizona Cardinals are always trendy picks to make the playoffs. And, every once in a while, the long shot wins.
The Broncos don’t lose to teams they shouldn’t. Usually it’s a blowout win. Sometimes it’s close. But they only lose to teams that should beat them or are evenly matched (e.g., TCU).
That said, the Broncos will lose every blue moon to a team they should beat. That’s just a statistical fact. To paraphrase Tyler Durden, on a long enough time line, Boise St. will lose an in-conference game.
So, while I acknowledge that we could lose any game, and that we will lose games against the USU’s of the world, I’m not particularly worried about this game. Even if there is a 10% – 30% chance of a loss, there’s still a 70% – 90% chance of success.
by marktgarten on Nov 20, 2009 2:28 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
Rec'd for Fight Club reference!
Gotta work quotes from that movie into my every-day life more often…
Mariners/D Broncos/BSU Broncos fan in Seattle
by appleshampoo on Nov 20, 2009 5:20 PM PST up reply actions
Ute fan here making the trip to Logan tonight
I heard Bronco fans will probably outnumber Utah State fans. Is that true?
Will you guys be in the general admissions section?
Follow me on Twitter!
by Michael Rueckert on Nov 20, 2009 2:42 PM PST reply actions
How many showed up in Logan last time
8,000 or so?
"Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish."
Wow thats impressive
It’s like a 3-4 hour drive right?
Follow me on Twitter!
by Michael Rueckert on Nov 20, 2009 2:47 PM PST up reply actions
I believe we could (if we tried) do it at UNLV or maybe even SDSU...
I bet we could probably get that many if/when we join the MWC.
I love the colors Orange and Blue. Go Broncos!!! Go Titans!!! BAD WORD Florida!!!
Yeah
It has to be around 5 hours. It’s 3 hours just to Pocatello.
"Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish."
I've made it in just over 4 hours.
Not a bad drive at all. Freeway nearly the entire way.
I have attended every home Boise State football game since 1992.
by JasonHaberman on Nov 20, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions
HEY INTERN!!!
Guess who just left a voice mail for the Bronco Nation Podcast?!?!?!?!?!? You’ll be so proud of me.
"After chasing sunsets, one of life's simple joys is playing with the boys." - Top Gun
Saw you on
KTVB Ch & at 5pm…..Way to go Crissie
We do not take counsel of our fears, our naysayers, or the unknown
Coach Pete January 1, 2007

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