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Opponent preview: Can San Jose State slow the Broncos' running game?

The San Jose State - Boise State matchup typically is one of the better WAC tests for the Broncos, but this season's affair has "blah" written all over it. What will it take for SJSU to make a game of it? What has gone wrong for the Spartans in 2009? Is San Jose underrated and possibly dangerous?

Join me after the jump as I answer some of these questions and take a look at the SJSU run defense versus Boise State's rush offense. What factors do you think will be important on Saturday? Make yourself heard in the comments.

Star-divide



1-5, (0-2)

No. 7 Boise State at Hawaii

Kickoff: Saturday, 1:00pm MT, TV: KTVB, Radio: 580 KIDO

Weather forecast: 40 percent chance of showers, high of 54

Spread: Boise State by 35


7-0, (2-0)

 

San Jose State last week

Bye

The Spartans will have had 13 days to recuperate, plan, and prepare for the Broncos by the time gametime rolls around on Saturday afternoon. Will it make a difference? It certainly won't hurt. One thing's for sure, San Jose State is better than a 1-5 team, and you can bet they'll be motivated and ready to prove it on Saturday against the Broncos. Boise State's reaction? Get in line. Teams have been singing the same tune all season long.


 

San Jose State season-to-date

Safe to say that the Spartans did not see their season going this way. A brutal opening schedule really did a number on San Jose State, kicking them into an 0-3 hole after games against Utah, USC, and Stanford. A gimme win against Cal Poly followed (and by "gimme," I mean "19-9") and then the WAC schedule came aboard. SJSU dropped a winnable game at home against Idaho - a game that saw Nathan Enderle get pulled and the Vandals slip away with a four-point win following a final minute TD plunge by Demaundray Woolridge. The week after, Ryan Mathews and the Fighting Pat Hills scored 34 unanswered points after falling behind 14-7 and cruised to an easy 41-21 win over Sparta.

San Jose has had a hard time of it. Starting QB Kyle Reed found his way to the bench about a month ago. Rumors have swirled about the financial misery surrounding the athletic department. Dick Tomey could be out once the year is done.

At least they haven't had a Jason Street episode.

Street_2_medium

"I'm just going to emotionally stare at this ground for 10 or 15 minutes." via featuresblogs.chicagotribune.com

 

San Jose State offense

  • OT Fred Koloto
  • OG Isaac Leatiota
  • C Ronnie Castillo
  • OG Steve Lightsy
  • OT John Konye
  • TE Ryan Otten
  • QB Jordan La Secla
  • RB Lamon Muldrow
  • RB Brandon Rutley
  • WR Kevin Jurovich
  • WR Jala Beauchman

The San Jose offense had the slightest glimmer of hope of being spectacular this offseason, but only a complete fool would have believed that was possible. Kyle Reed's benching has improved the offense; La Secla is at least middle of the pack when it comes to WAC quarterbacks.

The huge disappointment has been the San Jose running game. Going into Saturday, the Spartans have rushed for only 466 yards in six games, which is way, way behind the production of every other WAC team. Under a new offensive coordinator, SJSU just hasn't run the ball as much, logging the second fewest carries in the conference. Muldrow averages a solid 5.5 yards per rush, but he's only carried the ball 56 times. A different gameplan might be needed if the Spartans hope to hang with the Broncos.

One other note: Kevin Jurovich no longer has mono, so he's catching lots of passes again.

San Jose State defense

San Jose's defense is traditionally the team's calling card. Not so much this year, though.

SJSU ranks dead last in yards per game and points per game in the WAC, allowing well over 400 and 30, respectively. Part of that has to do with their daunting nonconference schedule. Part of it has to do with their just not being good.

Star players Duke and Carl Ihenacho have lived up to their billing, but there have been few other bright spots. Bronco fans might not recognize this Spartan defense when it takes the field on Saturday.

San Jose State special teams

  • P Philip Zavala
  • K Tyler Cope
  • KR Brandon Rutley
  • PR Michael Avila

Rutley was the RB who broke the long TD run against the Broncos last season, making that game a whole lot closer than it needed to be. Collectively, the Spartan special teams are average.

San Jose State's run defense in 2009

In a word, "disastrous." San Jose has been a RB freeway so far this year, giving up an average of 260 rushing yards per game. That's right. 260. Surprisingly, this is not dead last in the country, but third to dead last behind the Valure Velour Curtains of Western Kentucky and Eastern Michigan and just ahead of several vaunted Florida directional schools.

What gives? Well, the loss of DT Jarron Gilbert, the WAC's co-defensive POY in 2008, has been huge. Among the SJSU front seven, only DE Carl Ihenacho and LB Justin Cole have any name recognition inside the WAC. The personnel just hasn't been nearly as good as recent years.

Again, part of it is facing daunting running games like USC and Utah. Another part of it is San Jose State just being undisciplined, out-physicaled, and bad. You don't give up 260 yards per game in six games without having some major problems. Bring in the fail whale.

Fail-whale_medium

 

Boise State's rush offense in 2009

The Broncos have been vastly improved in the running game this season, as Jeremy Avery, D.J. Harper, Doug Martin, and Matt Kaiserman have each taken turns running through and around opposing defenses. Boise State's style can still sometimes be feast or famine, but when the feasting is on, times are good.

Consistency, really, is the only thing that the running game has lacked. There are times (UC Davis, for instance) when things just weren't clicking. There were games (Fresno State, for one) where big runs made the end result look a lot better than it was. Here are Boise State's rush averages in all seven of the games so far this season:

  • vs. Oregon 2..8
  • vs. Miami (OH) 4.4
  • vs. Fresno 10.3
  • vs. Bowling Green 7.6
  • vs. UC Davis 3.1
  • vs. Tulsa 4.4
  • vs. Hawaii 4.8

What game do you think had the most consistent Bronco rushing performance?

I'd have to point to Doug Martin's second half against Tulsa and last week's grind-it-out affair in Hawaii. The Broncos looked unstoppable at times in the running game, and they were doing it with big gains on virtually every carry.

Part two: Why do you think the Broncos are better in the running game this year?

I think it's a combination of running backs being more decisive to the hole and a cohesive offensive line that is owning the line of scrimmage. Anybody else?

Irresistible force meets very movable object?

So what will happen when the strong Bronco running game meets the underwhelming SJSU run defense? Are we in store for another big rushing day from the Broncos?

There will be several factors that will play a role in just how big the ground game is for Boise State For instance:

  • Will the Broncos focus on the run? The gameplan could be to let Kellen Moore beat the Spartans, which would not be a bad gameplan in the least bit.
  • Are Bronco running backs healthy? Doug Martin was dinged up last week, but you'd have to believe that between a healthy Avery, Kaiserman, and Hodge that Boise State has the horses to put up a big day.
  • Will the game be a runaway? The bigger margin the Broncos lead by, the more the running backs will get to carry the ball. It is doubtful Kaiserman would have had 100 yards if the Broncos weren't ahead by 40 points at the end of the game.

What other circumstances can you think of? Expecting a big rushing day for the Broncos?

Other factors

So many different aspects could come into play on Saturday afternoon. Here are a couple more that I'll be watching. Which ones are you keying on?

  • Big plays. The Broncos avoided the big play bug against Hawaii, but they were not so lucky last time they faced the Spartans. A pick-six and a long TD run were all SJSU needed to keep the game uncomfortably close. Eliminate big plays, and the Broncos will have an easier time of it on Saturday.
  • Fumbled snaps. I don't think I need to explain this one.
  • Weather. It looks like we're in store for a wet, cold afternoon on Saturday. Reminiscent of UC Davis? I hope not.
  • Third down conversions. Keeping the ball away from Boise State will be huge for SJSU, and keeping the chains moving for the Broncos will help put the game away.

Your Turn

What are you looking for when the Spartans come to town on Saturday? What's your over/under on how many yards the Broncos will get on the ground? Nervous about facing a typically tough SJSU team? Let's hear it in the comments.

0 recs  |  Comment 22 comments |

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no, and boise state will win by 38 points

nevada plays a hawaii team playing with there 4th string qb. no line out at the cal/neva. boise beat them by 50 at hawaii. nevada at home could put up 72 points on this team. they scored 63 vs unlv. put 70 on idaho. 10 touchdowns, one field goal and one missed extra point. 72 -10.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Oct 27, 2009 3:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I dont mean to flame but..

Isnt this the preview of the Boise St – San Jose St game and not the Nevada – Hawaii game?

Maybe I’m just at the wrong blog?

by Drofdarb23 on Oct 27, 2009 5:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh wait, nevermind. I'm at the right place!

Haha anyway:

We definitely need to clean up the fumbled snaps. Are they making this aspect of the game seem much harder than it is? I know it’s important, but how hard is it to actually do this correctly!?

I would really like to see us improve on our 3rd down efficiency. I could see this or fumbled snaps coming back to bite us at some point.

I always think about weather as a factor, but when it comes down to it, both teams have to play in the same weather. Doesn’t that pretty much make it equally “disruptive” or “advantageous” for both teams?

Lastly, I hope to see that same defense show up. Sound tackling, no big plays, & create turnovers.

San Jose State gives up 33.4 ppg. I’m guessing that number goes up after this weekend (it better, regardless of the weather).

by Drofdarb23 on Oct 27, 2009 5:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I would really like to see us improve on our 3rd down efficiency. I could see this or fumbled snaps coming back to bite us at some point.

Big-time received. The Broncos have a week to get third downs figured out against SJSU before the schedule could start punishing them for not converting. LaTech, Nevada, Idaho, and Utah State are still on the schedule. None of those teams are great, but they are good enough that BSU will want to be firing on all cylinders when they play. Just in case.

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Eh. I'm not concerned.

Boise has been very good on 3rd downs up to the Hawaii game. I think they played a lot more on 3rd down in this game than other games, seeing what types of plays worked for it.

I think it will be spot on anyone other time…. unless they start playing again vs. San Jose State.

"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale

by Loque on Oct 28, 2009 7:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kellen's Heisman Stock is Rising!

He has one 1st Place preliminary Heisman vote and a second and third place vote. That is a huge improvement from a few weeks ago when he had one 5th place vote. Whether or not he wins, no one can argue that his Heisman outlook has significantly brightened. While I believe that he doesn’t have a chance in hell of winning (this year). I do however; believe that it is possible that he could make the final three; which would be moral victory for BSU, in and of itself.

by csf68 on Oct 27, 2009 6:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think...

Pat Forde said he voted Kellen as his #1. That’s pretty sweet.

I agree, I don’t think he has much of a chance to win but an invite to the presentation would be HUGE for the program.

by Drofdarb23 on Oct 27, 2009 6:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who is his competition for an invite?

That’s what I’m most interested in seeing. I think getting there like Brennan did in ’07 would be great, especially if he could do it as a sophomore. Right now, is he fighting Tebow and McCoy for the third or fourth spot?

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My prediction...-ish

We’ll probably see Ingham drop off the charts. He really hasn’t done much past 1-2 games. CJ Spiller looks nice, but he’s just getting more attention from the Miami game and will, too, drop out of the race.

Tebow and McCoy aren’t who they are, but their names carries a lot of wait. This is important because most of the Heisman voters, much like politicians, vote based on name and “face time” they see.

The one person that could keep Kellen out of an invite is Clausen. He’s really not that great, but he has talk about going to the NFL early, yadda, yadda, yadda… Oh, and he plays at Notre Dame.

As bad as it smells, Kellen can really only get an invite by seeing other do poorly (some more). That, and are we sure the coaches will open the magic Kellen Moore playbook the rest of their games like they did last week? we all hope so, but I bet they’ll try and force the running game a few more times.

"You know where i'm from, a little suspicion about one's true identity and motives is considered good manners."
-- Nale

by Loque on Oct 28, 2009 7:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

About fumbled snaps – I watched the 1st qtr of the Hawaii game. 2 fumbled snaps, 1 more that was pretty low but saved, and 1 that hit Kellen in the hands that he bobbled for a moment. I know there were at least 2 more during the rest of the game but I didn’t have the patience to watch. Bottom line is I dont know what the freak’n problem is or who to blame. Kevan and Mountngrown have some good ideas, but I dont know how to link to it. It has something to do with speed, movement, and the perfect storm. And we all know how that turned out.

SJ States redzone offense is somewhat better than the Bronco’s. 1st in the FBS with 100% scoring in the redzone, 84.6% of the time being TD’s. Unfortunately for the Spartans, they have only made it to the redzone 13 times this season. Fortunately for everyone else, all their other weaknesses far outweigh this anomaly.

So should we worry? No, and I expect to see their redzone efficiency numbers take a pretty serious hit on saturday.

by DRD The Man on Oct 27, 2009 7:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good red zone stats. Do you think the Spartans will even make it to the red zone on Saturday?

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great Western 10?

I had a vision…care to day dream with me?

I say screw the Mt West and the WAC; let Benson and Thompson fight for the scraps. How about eliminating the weakest teams from both conferences and forming a new conference called the “Great Western 10”. This new conference could make a great case for an automatic BCS bid; sports analysts seem to agree that the Big East from top to bottom is a better conference than the MWC; the bottom of the MWC is really weak. The MWC has San Diego, New Mexico, and UNLV as it’s bottom feeders. The WAC’s bottom feeders are just as bad or worse. Why wait for Thompson to make up his mind? Let’s let karma take over and pull the same stunt that the MWC pulled on the WAC; while they are all scratching their heads, trying to figure out the seemingly impossible task of adding BSU, let’s grab the best from both conferences and split town!

I say, "take the best and leave the rest!

Boise State
TCU
Utah
Brigham Young
Wyoming
Air Force
Colorado State
Montana (major studs of the FCS, I think they could round out the Great Western 10…and they would make for a great rivalry between BSU, BYU, Utah, and Wyoming. I miss the BSU/Montana rivalry from the old Big Sky)
Fresno State
Nevada

by csf68 on Oct 27, 2009 8:23 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Montana wants nothing to do with FBS ball

Montana really enjoys being a big fish in the small pond. They’re a national juggernaut of FCS ball, whereas they’d be lucky to compete in FBS. Everyone who wants Montana to jump up is just dreaming, at least until/unless FCS disappears.

by JoeVandalFTW on Oct 28, 2009 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kevin Jurovich

That guy is still around? I think he went to high school with my dad. Rember the ‘ol "I’m just tying my shoe on our sideline" trick he tried to pull in ‘07? That was Jeff Caves’ finest hour. Fail x 2.

Obviously you're not a golfer...

by ty_ol on Oct 27, 2009 9:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I remember Marty Tadman sniffing that play out. Sigh. Marty Tadman.

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's hard to argue

Unfortunately San Jose State Football is regressing this year. After making strides over the past few years, it seems our OOC schedule has killed any hope we had of making a bowl game. I often advocate for the BSU scheduling philosophy, but it falls on deaf ears. Playing the USCs, Stanfords, and Utahs in the same season isn’t how you get wins and make bowls.

by SpartanBlitz.com on Oct 28, 2009 12:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

What are your feelings on Tomey?

Think he is in the same coaching class as Petersen and other elite non-BCS coaches?

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kevan, I hate to say it... but I think you've been MUNSON'D!

Valure Curtains?

Don’t you mean velour?

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Oct 28, 2009 5:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe I meant "Value"?

Totally munson’d. Thanks for the catch, Mikrino.

"I eat success for breakfast - with skim milk!" - Tony Perkis

by Kevan Lee on Oct 28, 2009 6:55 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just doing my best to point out others inadequacies in order to mask my own.

YAY ME!

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Oct 28, 2009 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

received

I even munson’d a fanshot.chagrin

tvmunson

by tmunson on Oct 28, 2009 9:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Y'all will kill SJSU

They came into the year with people saying “much improved” but they aint got it.

A feeling disrespected BSU will win by at least three scores in my opinion.

by MeanBobMean on Oct 28, 2009 12:46 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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