Contrary to popular belief, the sky is not falling
Bummer about that Bronco game, huh? Oh well. There's still Fresno next week and then the Humanitarian Bowl. Hey, maybe the Coca-cola bear will be there this year. That might be fun.
Wait. What's that? The Boise State game against Nevada hasn't been played yet? The Broncos didn't lose to the Wolf Pack? Colin Kaepernick and Vai Taua didn't rush for over 300 yards and the Nevada defense didn't keep the Boise State offense in check? Really?
Whew. That's a load off.
Everything we have read so far this week seems to assume that the Broncos stand little chance on Saturday against Nevada. The stories and the statistics are hammering home the point that the Wolf Pack is a team on the rise and the toughest opponent that Boise State has faced.
Weren't they saying the same thing about San Jose State?
It feels ten times worse than SJSU, though. Everyone is pointing to what happened last season in Boise as Colin Kaepernick and Luke Lippincott ran roughshod over the BSU defense. Had the local media thought we forgot about that game? Be serious. We'll forget about that game as soon as we forget the 2005 Georgia game.
And the endless barrage of "Nevada is the No. 1 rushing team in the country" and "don't forget about the defense" and "Kaepernick, Kaepernick, FOR THE LOVE OF ALL THAT IS GOOD AND HOLY COLIN KAEPERNICK" isn't helping, either. By the sound of things, Boise State is headed into the world's largest buzzsaw on Saturday, resigned to be chewed up and spit out by a far superior Nevada football team.
Isn't that right, everybody who has access to Movable Type?
The scary thing is not that the Nevada football team scored 67 points on Boise State last year.
The scary thing is that the Wolf Pack are better this year.
Outside of the first play of the game, BSU shut the Vandals down.
But Nevada isn't Idaho. And the pressure is building on BSU. For the Broncos to stay in the mix for a BCS bid, this week's game is a must-win.
And our personal favorite...
So Nevada runs better than anyone in the country, they pass, they punt, they kick field goals, they have one of the top defenses in the country against the run and they sack you if you try to pass. What can the Broncos do in Reno?
Well, they can always try their luck at the casinos.
That last quote wasn't taken from the Idaho Statesman or the Press-Tribune or even the geniuses at the Magic Valley Times-News. That quote was pulled from an article on Boise State's Scout.com page, written by one of the biggest Bronco fans we know.
So should Bronco Nation be worried? Not this much, they shouldn't.
Lost amid all the discussion about how great Nevada is playing is the fact that Boise State is playing even better. This Bronco team is undefeated and downright dominating opponents. Nevada has been good for three weeks; Boise State has been good since August. Where are the stories about that?
Instead of focusing on the doom and gloom of Boise State's next opponent, perhaps we should be focusing on everything BSU does well that other teams will have to prepare for. So what if Nevada runs a great spread option attack? No single team has been able to make the spread option work against the Broncos this year. No mobile quarterback has found any sort of success. Does Diondre Borel ring any bells?
"It's the simplest offense in the whole league," San Jose State coach Dick Tomey said. "They line up the same way almost all of the time, they run the fewest plays and they execute the best."
The Boise State defense has shown absolutely no chinks in their armor. Why would they start against
Nevada? And don't even think about bringing up last year's game against the Wolf Pack. That was the perfect storm for Nevada with a new QB, no Jeron Johnson, the worst tackling and positioning by a Bronco defense ever, and Boise State still came away with the win.
And as far as the scary Nevada defense is concerned, don't even get us started with that nonsense. So what if the Broncos can't run on Saturday? Nevada gives up 318 passing yards per game, and they have yet to see a quarterback like Kellen Moore.
Ian Johnson gets it, even if he won't come right out and say it.
"There’s a reason they’re No. 2 (against the run) — some teams have elected to pass the ball, but that’s beside the point," senior Ian Johnson said. "When teams are trying to run, they’re getting stuffed."
The fact of the matter is that Nevada will be a far better team than anyone the Broncos have played in the past three weeks, which, if memory serves us correct, included New Mexico State, Utah State, and Idaho. They will provide a challenge with their running game, and playing at home might give them a little boost.
And that's it.
There's no reason to panic about Saturday's game. This year's Bronco team has proven time and again that they don't get rattled and they know how to take care of business. How many more times do they have to do it before we start believing?
At least one more week, it seems.
Read more: Wolf Pack feasting on opposing defenses [Statesman]
Broncos prep for biggest game of the year [Times-News]
Boise State ground game to face tough test [Statesman]
Nevada is the best team Boise State will play [Scout.com]
Broncos to face stingy "D" [Press-Tribune]
0 recs |
31 comments
Comments
I'm so glad you wrote this article. This Nevada team is getting so much hype, I'm about ready to puke. Like I said yesterday, where was this teams greatness when they lost to NMSU at home? Beating Fresno State this year is nothing to brag about. This game will not be a repeat of last year.
Since Nevada is getting all this attention before the game, the Broncos better get tons and tons of recognition for beating the hell out of the Wolf Pack.
Broncos by two touchdowns at least.
by Jeremy on Nov 18, 2008 10:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Boise State 45-20…The Wolf Pack will present challenges and I think they get to 20 mainly because I think we have a fumble or some such that gives them a "gimme" other than that, I think that Kap and Taua will be neutralized…having one or two big plays but no back breakers.
by FightFightBSU on Nov 18, 2008 10:20 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I like what you guys are saying. I'm excited to see how our defense handles the rushing threat. I, too, think that the Broncos will beat Nevada by 14+, maybe BSU 45 NEV 24
by BroncoFever on Nov 18, 2008 10:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
nevada will never once lead in this game. we will score on the first drive and hold the lead throughout the entire game. BSU 42 NEV 17
by BSUBLUE on Nov 18, 2008 10:50 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes, Thank you for setting the record straight and pointing out why Boise State will dominate the dogpack. It feels to me that this game is like the Oregon one. I will be yelling at the TV, using expletives every time we bust a big play. I know we will win, but the obvious lack of faith in BSU by the media compels me to rub this one in the faces of our opponents. I think that if we somehow need to keep our A offense in (which is really 2-deep) we can put up 50 points. So I'll predict 52 to 17. They get 24 if the sky does fall a little bit.
by pretendhuman on Nov 18, 2008 11:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Maybe this is a special tactic by the media. Nevada reads them and gets overconfident. BSU reads them and gets an ever bigger chip on their shoulder and a greater taste for blood. Maybe we should thank the media for this cunning strategy to assist our team.
Or, possibly, the media is just full of crap. Yeah, that's more likely.
by KYBronco on Nov 19, 2008 12:05 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
It is a little ridiculous. Lots of folks keep bringing up they way Nevada was able to run on the Broncos last year and forced the 4 OTs, but they all stop short of the defining point, THE BRONCOS WON THE GAME!
Second, this defense is nowhere near the defense of 2007.
Any one you talk to who dislikes Boise State will criticize you anytime you bring up 2006 or 2004 but they readily point out every other past "mistake" like Georgia, Hawaii last Year, ECU and the 4OT game with Nevada.
Seriously, this has been a weird season. Every week is THE "toughest" week for Boise State. Just Ask, Graham Watson. The Broncos put one of them down and the haters just move to the next one…
"Well, this next matchup will REALLY give them a test"…and then its 33-16.
by Mikrino on Nov 19, 2008 12:16 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
No kidding about NMSU. How exactly is this team any different than the one that lost to the Aggies in Reno or to the Warriors in Hawaii? I don't doubt that everyone has good weeks and they have bad weeks, but if you're going to point out Boise State's flaws from a year ago, then you might as well point out Nevada's from this season.
by kevanlee on Nov 19, 2008 12:18 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think the key here is Nevada scored 67 last year on the Broncos and now have a better O…I don't think BSU has as good of an O as last year…but the defense is much better and the O is good enough. Boise State still wins 45-20
by FightFightBSU on Nov 19, 2008 12:26 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nevada is averaging 38.4 ppg to Boise State's 37.1ppg.
But Nevada also is giving up 30.6 ppg on defense to Boise State's 10.3 ppg.
by Mikrino on Nov 19, 2008 12:45 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nevada hasn't faced a quarterback like Kellen Moore? Yeah, you're right, the Wolf Pack just faced Graham Harrell and Chase Daniel, two likely Heisman Trophy finalists. Good point though.
And all that sky is falling crap must being coming from Boise's typically homer media outlets, because the Broncos are hardly being portrayed as an underdog in either the Reno or national media.
by UN grad on Nov 19, 2008 1:03 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Surprisingly, Tom Scott slights the gaudy Nevada rushing statistics by pointing out they haven't faced a defense like the Broncos. He even gives it a "Seriously folks.."
Never realized that Kaepernick was looking at BSU – we got the much better end of the deal with Kellen Moore – although I am sure the voters won't think so and name Kaepernick WAC Offensive Player of the Year.
Also gotta love today's edition of This Day in Sports – still in the top 3 games I have ever been to at Bronco Stadium
by BlueTurf on Nov 19, 2008 1:06 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I guess the 816 passing yards given up in those 2 games were an anomaly.
Also, wouldn't the "sky is falling crap" be a contradiction to "homer media outlets"? In fact, I wish our media outlets were a little more homerish in their coverage.
by Nick on Nov 19, 2008 1:25 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Just your weekly toughest game of the year, like Mikrino pointed out. I can't wait for all the hype before Fresno State comes to town. But, thank God for all that hype. Without it how would anybody stay interested in matchups against WAC opponents?
I think the Broncos show up in Reno, and don't find that team they have been hearing about. Instead, they find a middle of the 'pack' WAC team, with a decent run game, and nothing else. I think the Broncos rush for a sub-average 150 yards, and pass for 320, and that is all that's necessary for a 42-24 win on the road.
Sure, Crazy Legs Kaepernick is going to bust a couple of long runs and Nevada will be able to score, but it won't be enough against a very good Bronco team. It never is.
Oh, and watch them try to take Kellen out. If that happens I say we should designate JJ and Doug Martin to spot whoever tries it, and take them out.
by TitoRay on Nov 19, 2008 1:43 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
A UN Grad? Why is a guy from Nebraska talking smack about Boise State? Oh, wait, I think Nebraska is NU, or is it UN? I forgot.
Daniel a likely Heisman finalist? Is it still 2007?
Nick's right, Homer usually means they actually like the home team. Unless he means Homer, as in the stupid, fat, and lazy man who utters incomprehensible statements of profound idiocy. In which case, I agree, our media is a typical Homer.
by KYBronco on Nov 19, 2008 2:13 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
No, they weren't anomalies…Nevada's pass defense has been atrocious all season long. I'm not even arguing that Moore will put up good numbers, but to say that he is the best quarterback the Pack has faced all season is just foolish.
As far as the media outlets…this obviously isn't a situation where Boise State is the underdog. And yet the media is essentially taking the message the Broncos are trying perpetuate and running with it. Homerism doesn't always mean being unblushingly positive. More than not it's expressed by stories that take athletes and coaches for what they say without asking analytical or pressing questions.
by UN grad on Nov 19, 2008 2:33 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
That's not homerism. That's just being lazy or unprofessional, both adjectives I can get behind when describing Boise media.
No one said Moore was better (yet), just that Nevada hasn't seen a QB like him this year. Graham Harrell and Chase Daniels are both right handed QBs. I rest my case.
by Nick on Nov 19, 2008 2:45 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
KY? Initials? Bluegrass resident? Lubricant enthusiast?
by UN grad on Nov 19, 2008 2:58 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
2002- 44-7 Broncos
2004- 58-21 Broncos
2006- 38-7 Broncos
These are the last three scores in Reno. Why should this matchup be any different? Boise State has never had the dominating defense that they have now. Meanwhile Nevada is right where they have been for 5 years, almost good enough, but not quite. 6-4 is not impressive Wolf Pack fans.
- Rush defense in the country? Let's explore that…
Frenso-31st (who they faced without their top rushers)
Mizzou-49th (passing team)
Idaho-69th
Texas Tech-74th (passing team)
UNLV-80th
Utah State-84th
Hawaii-102nd (passing team)
New Mexico State-119th in Rush Offense (passing team)
They faced some real juggernauts so far. Especially Grambling who put up 5 yards in FORTY attempts this year against the Wolf Pack.You think maybe that is padding their stats just a little?
by Mikrino on Nov 19, 2008 7:40 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nevada is averaging 38.4 ppg up from 2007's 33.5 ppg
Boise is at 37.1 ppg this year, down from 42.4 a year ago.
But Nevada also is giving up 30.6 ppg on defense to Boise State's 10.3 ppg.
Defense will decide this game. I agree on the score though, something close to that.
by Mikrino on Nov 19, 2008 7:47 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Oh snap! I do love the all the attention given to their #2 rushing defense, and not their #119 passing defense. Keep spinning it boys, we need some more votes!
by jahkass on Nov 19, 2008 6:14 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
It's not local Boise Media,
The Wolf Pack and their fans are hyping this game by saying they've been waiting since last year for a rematch or some type of vindication. It's ESPN (major media outlet) giving Nevada to boost in ego by spouting their Rush Defense and recent level of play. They conveniently leave out their "worst in the country" pass defense and their 68th rank in Turnover Margin. Every fan is also quick to point out last year's 4OT thriller and they subjectively leave out the part about who won. Hmm?
Graham Watson and ESPN are clueless about this or any other WAC game. Come on, they picked Fresno State to win the conference. Nevada has lost 8 straight to BSU. Its more about going against Boise State for them than it is going for Nevada/San Jose/NMSU/So. Miss./Oregon/anybody.
by Mikrino on Nov 19, 2008 8:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
If Boise State can't beat lowly Nevada, they surely don't deserve a top 25 ranking. Boise State should be fine I mean, it's fucking NEVADA… that this is simply another lame, sleep-fest for both the coaching staff and the players.
The significance, here, lies with the size of the win. If the Broncos don't absolutely STOMP this team, I'm not sure they deserve a top 10 ranking. To prove that they're contenders, BSU needs to show -just as USC, Texas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Alabama, Penn State and Florida would
by Patrick on Nov 19, 2008 8:16 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
This is all too funny. Again, people, it's fucking NEVADA!! Sad, that a mere mention of the name evokes laughter among college football fans…
by Patrick on Nov 19, 2008 8:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
What a great post! Very informative and puts a lot of perspective on Nevada's purported defensive success. Thanks for the info.
by pretendhuman on Nov 19, 2008 8:45 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
- +1
* Vote up
* Vote down
Loading…
pretendhuman • 28p
I think a 6 1/2 point spread over a team we will beat by at least two touchdowns is ignorant and shows a lack of research. So its like giving UNR a 6 point spread over the Idaho State Bengals.
Also, informed media outlets who's team is 49-1 in conference play tend to talk positively about their team (excluding Brian Murphy). Boise State is looking for more respect, mostly.
by pretendhuman on Nov 19, 2008 8:57 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think a 6 1/2 point spread over a team we will beat by at least two touchdowns is ignorant and shows a lack of research. So its like giving UNR a 6 point spread over the Idaho State Bengals.
Also, informed media outlets who's team is 49-1 in conference play tend to talk positively about their team (excluding Brian Murphy). Boise State is looking for more respect, mostly.
by pretendhuman on Nov 19, 2008 8:57 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
"Stories that take athletes and coaches for what they say without asking analytical questions"
What you said reminds me of the article from Reno that pointed out that Boise State has no superstars on defense. The article was based on a quote by Coach Pete. He was stating that all the players were stepping up and making plays for us this year. Analyze our defense and you will see several good players. We have many playmakers, so we are not carried by any one guy. That goes for the offense, too. Your media must lie to you, too… What homers.
by pretendhuman on Nov 19, 2008 9:07 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Also, does it really matter that much to Boise State if Nevada's rush defense is so good? BSU has run the ball poorly almost all year and guess what? They're still undefeated. So if Nevada stops the run, big whoop, Kellen Moore will throw the ball. There's not a damn thing Nevada can do about if with their poor pass defense.
by Jeremy on Nov 19, 2008 10:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Kev, let's look on the bright side. It's good that everyone thinks Nevada is so darn great. Hopefully ESPN is drinking this Koolaid as well. That way when we crush them 45-21 in their house we'll get some nice national pub.
Unless of course it's like Utah in 2006; "Boise State can't win!" Oh wait, a record home loss for the Utes. Well, they must suck as BSU can't really be that good. Thanks Kirk Herbstreit, wrong… again.
by OSQjunkie on Nov 20, 2008 4:10 AM PST reply actions 0 recs














